12.01.2014

Psychological ways to get a man back quotes,free wiccan love spells for beginners 2014,i want a girlfriend please help me god,how to get him back on valentines day quotes - PDF Books

Send it off to your ex and they will contact you since they will not be able to handle the fact you’re moving on before them.
The fast psychological way to success is having all the clues, tips and tricks you need to get him or her back in your life again. Just following up on our post the other day on retrospective evaluations of probabilistic predictions: For more on Leicester City, see Nick Goff on Why did bookmakers lose on Leicester? The post Nick and Nate and Mark on Leicester and Trump appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science. For more on Trump, see Nate Silver on How I Acted Like A Pundit And Screwed Up On Donald Trump and Mark Palko making a lot of these points, back in September, 2015, on how journalists were getting things wrong and not updating their models given the evidence in front of them. Which is closely related to the “Why did bookmakers lose on Leicester?, because it seems that their big losses came not from those 5000-1 preseason odds but from bets during the early part of the season, when Leicester was winning and winning but the bookies were lowering the odds only gradually, not fully accounting for the information provided by these games. Jonathan Sterne sent me this opinion piece by Stephan Lewandowsky and Dorothy Bishop, two psychology researchers who express concern that the movement for science and data transparency has been abused.
We strongly support open data, and scientists should not regard all requests for data as harassment. The status of data availability should be enshrined in the publication record along with details about what information has been withheld and why. Scientific publications should be seen as a€?living documentsa€™, with corrigenda an accepted a€” if unwelcome a€” part of scientific progress. Freedom-of-information (FOI) requests have revealed conflicts of interest, including undisclosed funding of scientists by corporate interests such as pharmaceutical companies and utilities.
Journals and institutions can also publish threats of litigation, and use sunlight as a disinfectant.
Issues such as reproducibility and conflicts of interest have legitimately attracted much scrutiny and have stimulated corrective action.
Research is already moving towards study a€?pre-registrationa€™ (researchers publishing their intended method and analysis plans before starting) as a way to avoid bias, and the same strictures should apply to critics during reanalysis. I would have appreciated the chance to explain the analytical procedure in much more detail than was possible during my 10-minute talk but he didna€™t give me the option. There was time for a press release with an interview and a publicity photo, but no time for writing up the method or posting the data.
The post Bias against women in academia appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.
All challenges aside, there are disparities, for whatever reasons, between men and women in the workforce, and it’s a topic worth studying, especially given how the roles of men and women have changed in recent decades. I have no reason to think that academia is worse than other sectors when it comes to how women are treated.
Tian Zheng pointed me to this page by Virginia Valian, author of the 1988 book, “Why So Slow? The post Birthday analysis—Friday the 13th update, and some model checking appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science. You can see dips on the 13th of each month, also a slight bump on Valentine’s, and drops on several other special days, including February 29th, Halloween, and September 11th, along with a bunch of major holidays.
If you look carefully on the bottom graph you’ll again see the little dips on the 13th of each month, but the blow-up above is better. Comparing to the results from the earlier time period (just look at your copy of BDA3!), we see the new pattern on September 11th, also in general the day-of-week effects and special-day effects are much higher. The first thing I noticed, after seeing the big dips on New Year’s, July 4th, and Christmas, were the blurs around Labor Day, Memorial Day, and Thanksgiving. The second thing is that the day-of-week effects clearly go up over time, and we know from our separate analyses of the 1968-2008 and 2000-2014 data that the individual-date and special-day effects increase over time too.
The other problem with the model we fit can be seen, for example, around Christmas and New Year’s. You can also see this problem arising in the last half of September, where there seem to be “too many babies” for two entire weeks! This is a great example of posterior model checking, and a reminder that fitting the model is never the end of the story. It’s easy enough to adjust for this in the model by just including an indicator for the dataset. We (that is, Aki) fit a hierarchical Gaussian process to the data, with several additive terms (on the log scale, I assume; at least, it should all be on the log scale).
The post Beautiful Graphs for Baseball Strike-Count Performance appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science. Jim Albert created some great graphs for strike-count performance in a series of two blog posts. Albert plots the pooled estimate of expected runs arising at various strike counts for all plate appearances for the 2011 season. Using the x axis for count progression and the y axis for outcome yields a really nice visualization of strike count effects. I like the red line at the average effect for an at-bat (corresponding to a 0-0 count), but I would’ve preferred the actual expected runs on the y axis rather than something standardized to zero. With multiple graphs, it’d be nice to have the same y axis range and the same ratio of x axis to y axis size (I can never remember how to do this in ggplot).
Of course, the natural next step is to build a hierarchical model to partially pool the ball-strike count effects.
I highly recommend clicking through to the original posts if you like baseball; there are many more players illustrated and much more in-depth baseball analysis.
The post On deck this week appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science. The post Peer review abuse flashback appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science. When any call is made for the retraction of two peer-reviewed and published articles, the onus of proof is on the claimant and the duty of scientific care and caution is manifestly high.
If you think of scientific research as a game where the prizes are publication, renown, and tenured professorships—then yes, by all means, try to bury all criticism and fight so hard that nobody will ever want to mess with you again.
On the other hand, if you think of scientific research as a way to learn about reality, you should be thrilled when your expectations are confounded, when someone points out an error and you have to rethink. Basically, I need to give them some simple answer that is least likely to raise eyebrows when they’re trying to publish. The post Stan talk in Seattle on Tuesday, May 17 appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.
The post Leicester City and Donald Trump: How to think about predictions and longshot victories? There’s been a lot of discussion in the sports and political media about what happened here. The 14th best team in the EPL is roughly equivalent to the 20th best team in MLB or the NBA or the NFL, in terms of distance from the top. There are a bunch of quotes out there from various pundits last year saying that Trump had zero chance of winning to the Republican primary. In contrast, if I make accurate predictions, ok, fine, I’m supposed to be able to do that.
Basically, I applied a bit of auto-peer-review to my own hypothetical blog post on Adams and Trump, and I rejected it!
I think the chance of a Sanders-Trump matchup is so low that we dona€™t have to think too hard about this one! A big difference between EPL and Tyson-Douglas is that there were only two potential winners of the boxing match.
Mark Palko points us to this op-ed in which psychiatrist Richard Friedman writes: There are also easy and powerful ways to enhance learning in young people.
The post Happy talk, meet the Edlin factor appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science. At the end of eight weeks, students who had been encouraged to view their intelligence as changeable scored significantly better (85 percent) than controls (54 percent) on a test of the material they learned in the seminar. Just like the original Jaws 2, this story features neither Richard Dreyfus nor Steven Spielberg. Match the resonses of large nationally representative sample to supporting these policy items. I let this languish in my inbox for awhile until Kahan taunted me by letting me know he’d posted the solution online. But before I give you our guesses, and before I tell you the actual answers (courtesy of Kahan), give it a try yourself. If you finish early, feel free to click on the random ass pictures that I’ve inserted to prevent you from inadverently spotting the answers before completing the test!
OK, as I said, it’s tricky to do the scoring because Kahan switched some of the colors on us, but if you go back to the top image and compare, you’ll see that we got 8 out of 10 correct! Indeed, if you go with Kahan’s absurdly complicated scoring scheme, we got a perfect score of 14.75!
The post Big Belly Roti on Amsterdam Ave and 123 St appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science. We may all have our biases, but I’m curious about cutting through those to what useful investigation of the data tells us.A  What does the research behind these say?A  Is that research good, or does it fall prey to low power and that pesky overgrown garden you keep writing about? The topic is interesting in itself and is of particular importance to me because nearly every day I’m thinking about what I can do to keep Stan team members happy and productive, and we do have some mix of structure we can impose and extrinsic rewards we can give out.
Finally, the relation between common sense, individual experiences, and statistical evidence is unclear here. Jim Greiner writes: The Access to Justice Lab is a startup effort, initially supported by the Laura and John Arnold Foundation with sufficient funds for three years, headed by Jim Greiner at Harvard Law School. Regular readers will know that Bill James was one of my inspirations for becoming a statistician. The post Bill James does model checking appeared first on Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science.
Total Baseball has Glenn Hubbard rated as a better player than Pete Rose, Brooks Robinson, Dale Murphy, Ken Boyer, or Sandy Koufax, a conclusion which is every bit as preposterous as it seems to be at first blush.
To a large extent, this rating is caused by the failure to adjust Hubbard’s fielding statistics for the ground-ball tendency of his pitching staff.
Mon: Bill James does model checking Tues: Whata€™s the motivation to do experiments on motivation? Paul Alper pointed me to this news article about an economist who got BUSTED for doing algebra on the plane. 2) Muhammad Rashid Rida (1865-1935) - From what is now Lebanon, wanted to rejuvenate the Ottoman caliphate.
He made no statements opposing Islamic supremacism, but he is called a Reformera„? for denying the way things are like so many today.
3) Muhammad a€?Inayat Allah Khan (1888- 1963) - Born in Punjab, founded the Khaksar Movement, a Muslim separatist group.
The astonishing similaritiesa€”or shall we say the unintentional similarity between two great mindsa€”between Hitlera€™s great book and the teachings of my Tazkirah and Isharat embolden me, because the fifteen years of a€?strugglea€? of the author of a€?My Strugglea€? [Mein Kampf] have now actually led his nation back to success. Mashriqi emphasized repeatedly in his pamphlets and published articles that the verity of Islam could be gauged by the rate of the earliest Muslim conquests in the glorious first decades after Muhammada€™s death - Mashriqia€™s estimate is a€?36,000 castles in 9 years, or 12 per daya€?. 4) Hajj Amin al-Husseini (~1896 - 1974) - Studied Islamic law briefly at Al-Azhar University in Cairo and at the Dar al-Da'wa wa-l-Irshad under Rashid Rida, who remained his mentor till Ridaa€™s death in 1935.2 3 Perhaps more a politician than a sharia scholar, he is on this page because of his authority and longtime influence as Grand Mufti of Jerusalem beginning in 1921. 5) Sheikh Muhammad Mahawif - was Grand Mufti of Egypt, in 1948 issued a fatwa declaring jihad in Palestine obligatory for all Muslims.
6) Sheikh Hasan Maa€™moun - Grand Mufti of Egypt in 1956 issued a fatwa, signed by the leading members of the Fatwa Committee of Al Azhar, and the major representatives of all four Sunni schools of jurisprudence.
There are hundreds of other [Koranic] psalms and hadith urging Muslims to value war and to fight.
10) Sheik Muhammad Sayyid Tantawi (1928 - 2010) - Grand Sheik Al-Azhar University, Cairo 1996 - 2010. BBC said Tantawi a€?is acknowledged as the highest spiritual authority for nearly a billion Sunni Muslimsa€?. He devotes a chapter to the various ways Allah punished the Jews, among them changing their form. 1996 - 30 years later was appointed Grand Imam at Al-Azhar U., then met in Cairo with the Chief Rabbi of Israel.
President of many influential orgs, founder and president of the International Association of Muslim Scholars which issues many fatwas.
During the Arab Springa„? in February 2011, after Mubarak's fall his return to Egypt for the 1st time since he was banned 30 years before drew the largest crowd since the uprising began - over 2 million. He said he worked with and was influenced by Hasan al-Banna, founder of the Muslim Brotherhood, where he is a longtime spiritual advisor, and in 1976 and 2004 turned down offers to be the Brotherhooda€™s highest-ranking General Leader.
Report on Goma€™a: a€?A fatwa issued by Egypta€™s top religious authority, which forbids the display of statues has art-lovers fearing it could be used by Islamic extremists as an excuse to destroy Egypta€™s historical heritage.
15) Sheikh Gamal Qutb - The one-time Grand Sheik of Al-Azhar on K- 4:24, and sex with slave girls. 19) Sheikh 'Ali Abu Al-Hassan - Al-Azhar University Fatwa Committee Chairman on suicide bombing in 2003. 21) Sheikh Hassan Khalid (1921 - 1989) - Sunni jurist, elected Grand Mufti of Lebanon in 1966 where he presided over Islamic courts for 23 years. Tibi said, "First, both sides should acknowledge candidly that although they might use identical terms these mean different things to each of them. Muslims frequently claim that a€?Islam means peace.a€? The word Islam comes from the same three-letter Arabic root as the word a€?salaam,a€? peace. 23) Majid Khaduri (1909-2007) - Iraqi jurist, Ph.D International law University of Chicago in 1938, member of the Iraqi delegation to the founding of the United Nations in 1945. 25) Hatem al-Haj - Egyptian, leading American Muslim jurist, MD, PhD, fellow at the American Academy of Pediatrics, and the author of this revealing 2008 Assembly of Muslim Jurists of America paper, which says the duty of Muslims is not to respect the laws of the country where they live, but rather do everything in their power to make the laws of Allah supreme.
Warraq says the main arguments of his book are few, since more than fifty percent of it is taken up by quotations from the Koran, from scholars like Ibn Taymiyya, from the Hadith, from Koranic commentators like Ibn Kathir, and from the four main Sunni schools of Law. Defensive Jihad: This is expelling the Kuffar from our land, and compulsory for all individuals. 28) Grand Ayatollah Ali Khamenei (1939 - ) - Shiite jurist, Supreme Leader of Iran, he was #2 in a 2009 book co authored by Esposito featuring the world's 500 most influential Muslims.


30) Sheikh Ahmed Kuftaro (1912-2004) - Grand Mufti of Syria, after the 2003 invasion of Iraq, yes to suicide attacks against Americans there. Grand Ayatollah Sistani (1930 -) - Shiite jurist and marja, the a€?highest authority for 17-20 million Iraqi Shia€™a, also as a moral and religious authority to Usuli Twelver Shia€™a worldwidea€?.
32) Saudi Sheikh Abdul Aziz al-Sheikh (1940- ) - Saudi Grand Mufti, the leading religious figure of Saudi-based Salafi Muslims. 33) Saudi Sheikh Saleh Al-Lehadan, Chief Justice of the Saudi Supreme Judiciary Council, and a member of Council of Senior Clerics, the highest religious body in the country, appointed by the King. 34) Saudi Sheikh Wajdi Hamza Al-Ghazawi - preacher started a popular new website "Al Minbar. 35) Saudi Sheik Muhammad al-Munajjid (1962 - ) - well-known Islamic scholar, lecturer, author, Wahhabi cleric.
36) Saudi Sheikh Abd al-Rahman al-Sudayyis - imam of Islam's most holy mosque, Al-Haram in Mecca, holds one of the most prestigious posts in Sunni Islam. The Saudis boasted of having spent $74 billion a€?educatinga€? the West that Islam is a Peaceful Tolerant Religiona„?. 43) Mazen al-Sarsawi - popular Egyptian TV cleric comments in 2011 on what Muhammad said about IS&J. 46) Sheik Taj Din Al-Hilali - Sunni, Imam of the Lakemba Mosque, former Grand Mufti of Australia & New Zealand, Ia€™m not sure of his education but he is on this page because he was the highest religious authority there for almost 20 years. 47) Imam Anwar al-Awlaki - American imam, became a leading figure in Al Qaedaa€™s affiliate in Yemen. Abu Bakr Al-Baghdadi (1971- ) - First Caliph of the new Islamic State (ISIS, ISIL) created in 2014. If youa€™ve been through this site then you dona€™t need Raymond Ibrahima€™s explanation why the a€?religious defamationa€? laws being called for internationally in 2012 would ban Islam itself and its core texts (One & Two) if they were applied with the same standard to all religions.
If Islamic doctrines are inherently violent, why isna€™t every single Muslim in the world violent?
10) Sheik Muhammad Sayyid Tantawi (1928 - 2010) - Grand Sheik Al-Azhar University, Cairo 1996 - 2010.A  Grand Mufti of Egypt 1986 - 1996. Rabe was imaginative, and had a talent for making madness respectable, like serving as chief telephone book critic for the Detroit newspapers, and Detroit Hatchetman of The Friends of Lizzie Borden. Up on Mackinac Island he invented and also saw gleefully to the publicizing of an International Stone-Skipping Tournament, a World Sauntering Day, and other annual events of like madcap nature, including the custom of ceremonially burning a snowman on the first day of Spring. Not surprisingly, he began by creating his own society while in the Army, The Old Soldiers of Baker Street, or Old SOBs. For the historically minded, one of the booka€™s particular usefulnesses lies in the many a€?small a€?ia€™ irregularsa€? included by Rabe, men and women not invested by the BSI but keeping the Memory green in their own ways: people who otherwise could scarcely be identified at this late stage whenever their names pop up in some old BSJ or scion publication.
But as intended, Whoa€™s Who & Whata€™s What was extremely helpful fifty years ago to those who wanted to know about the Sherlockian world in an era when there were only two journals with any significant circulation, and no Internet. The Internet makes this all too easy today, but in those days just about the only other information came from squibs by the editors in the BSJ and SHJ.
What shall a lonesome friend say about a man who, with a matchless pen in his hand and an unquenchable joy in his bosom, did more to make sound and perpetual our Sherlockian fellowship than all the members of that fellowship, gathered and combined? This article appeared in the September 2011 issue of the University of Minnesota Librariesa€™ Friends of the Sherlock Holmes Collections newsletter, edited by Julie McKuras, and won the Bryce Crawford Award for best contribution in that yeara€™s quarterly issues. On the rise: A bar graph showing the increase in the number of Americans using mental health medication between 2001 and 2010. In total, more than 20per cent of American adults were found to be on at least one drug for mental health disorders. A number of celebrities have gone public in recent years with their battles with mental health disorders.
Geographical differences: In the 'diabetes belt' states of Tennessee, Kentucky, Mississippi and Alabama, about 23per cent of people are on at least one mental health drug. Medco found that prescriptions of those drugs for children have dropped since 2004, when the FDA warned they were linked to suicidal thoughts when used in people under 19.
The views expressed in the contents above are those of our users and do not necessarily reflect the views of MailOnline. Most people don’t understand them and if they do, it doesn’t matter, because the human psyche just doesn’t see them until it’s too late.
Keep it short, but let them know you know it’s over and you are ready to move on with your life. It will be tempting to contact them to see if they received your note, but try to refrain from contacting them. Just kidding, because you can’t do that; that person won’t like or love you any more, only less. You can actually get this totally free right now just by signing up for the free book full of information.
Like many other men I have dealt with a lot of the issues on this site but decided to change these things so my life became better because why go through life with stupid issues you can change? As a result, the field is being invigorated by initiatives such as study pre-registration and open data. Much as I’d love to think that the famous cartoonist has been leaving lots of comments on my very own blog, ultimately I think the posterior probability is low that fraac is Adams. In that case, the question is mostly just an academic one, because anything we do will come up with more-or-less the same answer. We might be close to the edge of parameter space, or there might be some bimodal situation where two (or more) parameters can combine in two (or more) different plausible ways, and the evidence from the data isn’t yet enough to conclusively rule one of those out. Now obviously a whole bunch of things have to break right for for a 75-87 team to have the best record in baseball the next year. The bookies arena€™t giving odds on SOME team with a (equivalent to) 75-87 record or worse winning the most games next year a€“ but for one specific team.
Douglasa€™s win was surprising because he was assumed to be completely outclassed by Tyson, and then this stunning thing happened. Beyond that I think it makes sense to look at a€?precursor dataa€?: near misses and the like.
For example, there is intriguing evidence that the attitude that young people have about their own intelligence a€” and what their teachers believe a€” can have a big impact on how well they learn. Dweck and colleagues gave a group of low-achieving seventh graders a seminar on how the brain works and put the students at random into two groups. It all started when Dan Kahan sent me the following puzzle: Match the resonses of large nationally representative sample to supporting these policy items. This dude was profiled by the lady sitting next to him who got suspicious of his incomprehensible formulas. We shook hands and Hitler said, pointing to a book that was lying on the table: a€?I had a chance to read your al-Tazkirah.a€? Little did I understand at that time, what should have been clear to me when he said these words!
But only after leading his nation to the intended goal, has he disclosed his movementa€™s rules and obligations to the world; only after fifteen years has he made the means of success widely known. In 1922 he became President of the Supreme Muslim Council where he had the power to appoint personally loyal preachers in all of Palestinea€™s mosques, making him indisputably the most powerful Muslim leader in the country.2 Exiled, eventually to Germany from 1937 - 1945 where he was Hitlera€™s close associate. He founded the political party Hizb ut-Tahrir in 1952 as an alternative to the MB, and remained its leader until he died in 1977. 90-91), Irana€™s Ayatollah Khomeini himself married a ten-year-old girl when he was twenty-eight.
English translation in Barry Rubin and Judith Colp Rubin, Anti-American Terrorism and the Middle East (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2002), pp. The 2 largest standing Buddha carvings in the world from the 6th century were blown up by the Taliban in 2001. Ahmad AlA­Tayyeb - Grand Sheik of Al-Azhar University, was President of Al Azhar for 7 years, was Grand Mufti of Egypt. Career spanned more than 65 years, joined SAIS faculty in 1949, then created the first graduate program in the U.S on the modern Middle East. Islamic Education, Darul Uloom, Karachi, now hadith and Islamic economics instructor, sat for 20 years on Pakistani Supreme Court, he is one of the most respected Deobandi scholars in the world who authored over 60 books, an expert in Islamic finance who was quietly terminated or resigned in 2008 from the Sharia Supervisory Board of the Iman Fund, formerly the Dow Jones Islamic Index Fund (sharia finance). Al-Azhar University in The Principles of Islamic Jurisprudence, Shariah degree Damascus University, influenced by Sayyid Qutb and knew his family while in Egypt, lectured for years at Saudi Arabiaa€™s King Abdul Aziz University in Jeddah until 1979. Although acquitted by an Egyptian court for complicity in the 1981 slaying of Egyptian president Anwar Sadat, he has bragged about issuing the fatwa that approved the killing. He meets frequently with Crown Prince Abdullah and other senior members of the ruling family. But if the standard is how violent a reaction it provokes from the offended people, then only a€?defaminga€™ Islam will be banned.
Including all his references, they amount to a mountain of evidence that shows the consensus on IS&J in all 5 schools since the 7th century, especially in the absence of any book full of contrary opinions from authorities with the stature of the examples you have seen.
If they had, it would be easy to demonstrate with the kind of evidence you see here, from whatever era that was.
He founded the political party Hizb ut-Tahrir in 1952 as an alternative to the MB, and remained its leader until he died in 1977.A  Its stated goal is jihad a€?in clearly defined stagesa€? against existing political regimes, and their replacement with a caliphate. Rabe produced the first edition of Whoa€™s Who & Whata€™s What for a Sherlockian world prepared for and in need of it.
Armya€™s psychological operations service in Germany, work for which his future affairs would show he was eminently suited. At Lake Superior State University later on, he was a founder of The Unicorn Hunters: preferring Unicorn Questors because, he claimed, you shouldna€™t hunt what you cana€™t find a€” but that did not stop him from issuing tens of thousands of unicorn hunting licenses. Caring about culturea€™s struggle with noise, he created Hush Records whose big hit was an original cast recording of a€?An Evening with Marcel Marceau.a€? Caring about language, he launched an annual List of Words Banished from the Queena€™s English for Mis-Use, Over-Use, and General Uselessness, still issued on New Yeara€™s Day by Lake Superior State U.
He was in fact still young at the time; the photo below was taken when he visited the brand-new Sherlock Holmes Klubben in Copenhagen, entering Klubben legend by showing up with the first bottle of Scotch the thirsty Danes had seen since before the war. Among other things, he installed the first Sherlockian plaque at the Englischer Hof in Meiringen.
The usefulness to the curious then and the historian today can be suggested by the mid-sized entry for E.W. Protective Assn., or the confused and confusing ones for Helene Yuhasova and Lenore Glen Offord, the first of said ladies erroneously described as a one-time pen-name for the late Edgar W. What Rabe called W4 has solved many a nagging mystery, and its usefulness is far from exhausted. To cite but one example, Rabe was the first to try to compile a comprehensive list of Investitured Irregulars, as well as an informative survey of Sherlockian societies, something (Blau speaking here) no one since him has seriously attempted, let alone accomplished: my lists are fairly comprehensive, but hardly informative. The Sherlockian world of the 1960s was quite different from todaya€™s a€” in many ways quite parochial, as it wasna€™t easy to participate in meetings of far-flung societies, and quite difficult to know much if anything about Sherlockians one hadna€™t met other than in the BSJa€™s Whodunit section.
That was pretty much taken for granted by those who acquired and valued it, with rather little attention paid to it in the Sherlockian press a€” not that there was much Sherlockian press in 1961. Those whoa€™ve grown up in the eras of Xerox, inexpensive long-distance telephone service, computer word processing, email, and Google can scarcely imagine what it took to research and bring out a work like this in 1961. But it is an old maxim of mine (Lellenberg speaking here) that no research ever goes unutilized. The company said less than 1per cent of children use antipsychotics drugs, although the figure has doubled since 2001.In the 'diabetes belt' states of Tennessee, Kentucky, Mississippi and Alabama, about 23per cent of people are on at least one psychiatric or behavioral disorder drug.
However, you should be sure you actually want them back before trying any of the ex back tips below. You see them every day in the marketing efforts of every company on earth.  They use the same method as you to get your ex back. This is a psychological trigger that has been used for hundreds of years, most likely since the cavemen days. Every single belief every person has is a rationalisation of their emotional state a€“ in particular it’s usually hiding from fear.
In those cases, plotting the distribution should clearly show that something is up, but what do we do about it in terms of giving a point estimate?
5000-1 may be low, but 50-1 is absurdly high given there actually are quality differences between teams, and there are quite a few of them. Leicester is a pro soccer team and nobody thought they were outclassed by the other teamsa€”on a€?any given Sundaya€? anyone can wina€”but it was thought they were doomed by the law of large numbers.
For example if therea€™s not much data on the frequency of longshots winning the championship, we could get data on longshots placing in the top three, or the top five.
Carol Dweck, a psychology professor at Stanford University, has shown that kids who think that their intelligence is malleable perform better and are more motivated to learn than those who believe that their intelligence is fixed and unchangeable. The experimental group was told that learning changes the brain and that students are in charge of this process.
After the war he was wanted for crimes against humanity, but returned as a war hero to the Middle East, and remained Grand Mufti at least 10 years after WWII. Hizb reportedly now has secret cells in 40 countries, outlawed in Russia, Germany, Netherlands, Saudi Arabia and many others, but not in the USA where they hold an annual conference, and ita€™s still a legal political party in UK. Extremely influential Sunni jurist, sharia scholar based in Qatar, memorized the Koran by age ten. Chairman of the board of trustees atA Michigan-based Islamic American University, a subsidiary of the Muslim American Society, which was claimed by the Muslim Brotherhood as theirs in 1987. Goma€™a was #7 in the book co-authored by John Esposito featuring the world's 500 most influential Muslims, and he is widely hailed as a Moderatea„?. He was the program's director until his retirement in 1980 and University Distinguished Research Professor until his death at 98 years old. Deputy Chairman of the Jeddah based Islamic Fiqh Council of the OIC, and is a member of ECFR, whose President is Sheik Qaradawi. OBL was enrolled there from 76-81 where they probably first met; Azzam eventually became his mentor.
In fact 3 times Pulitzer Prize winner and Middle East Experta„? Thomas Friedman wants to give a Nobel prize to him even though he is an Islamic supremacist. There is much more than those 2 books, here are reading lists with books full of more evidence from Muslim and non-Muslim accounts of institutionalized IS&J for over 1300 years.
University Dogma takes for granted that a majority of jurists and ulama scholars, past and present, taught against IS&J, but no one says who and where these people are, and exactly what they said about relations between Muslims and non-Muslims. This was a decade into a remarkable, roughly five-decade career as a Sherlockian and Baker Street Irregular that encompassed ten times the activity of the average Irregular.
After returning to civilian life, he made a career at the University of Detroit as an a€?academic publicist.a€? Eventually he retired to Sault Ste.


When he returned home from the Army to Detroit, he joined The Amateur Mendicant Society there, founded by Russell McLauchlin a few years before. He put out The Commonplace Book, a periodic compilation of newspaper and magazine articles about Sherlock Holmes and his followers. Smith, the second as having been a€?struck from the rolls,a€? so alleged on the authority of S. And Rabea€™s Commonplace Book was the first attempt to give wider circulation to what was appearing in the general press.
It was grand in 1961 to be able to learn about the people in the Whoa€™s Who, and about the societies in an era when very few not members of local societies received the newsletters published by some of them. Julian Wolff barely mentioned it in the BSJ, essentially just announcing that it was available, and it is unknown how many copies were sold. It wasna€™t easy to obtain information of all sorts in those distant days, and Whoa€™s Who & Whata€™s What, for many, was a new and wonderful way to get information about the Sherlockian world. When the BSI Archival History got started, Bill swooped upon its first two volumes eagerly, reviewing the second enthusiastically for the Summer 1991 BSJ.
Diabetes is particularly widespread in those states and the condition is associated with higher levels of depression and anxiety disorders.The lowest rate of prescriptions was found in Indiana, Ohio, Wisconsin, and Michigan, where less than 15 per cent of people are using those medications. Basically you have to trick them into believing you are ready to move on and live your life without them.
The more you can convince them you’re moving on with your life, the more they will try to contact you and then they will start to ease their way back into your life.
Even the smartest people with the correctest beliefs tell themselves lies that are qualititively identical to those of the craziest loon. One way to think about Leicestera€™s odds in this context would be to say that, if they really are the 14th-best team, then maybe there are about 10 teams with roughly similar odds as theirs, and one could use historical data to get a sense of whata€™s the probability of any of the bottom 10 teams winning the championship. Therea€™s a continuity to the task of winning the championship, so it should be possible to extrapolate this probability from the probabilities of precursor events. The control group received a lesson on memory, but was not instructed to think of intelligence as malleable. He is remembered as the godfather of Palestinian terrorism nationalism - Professor Edward Said praised him as a€?the voice of the Palestinian people.a€? The History Channel made a film about him. Former Hizb-ut-Tahrir member Ed Husain, in his 2007 book The Islamist, says: The difference between Hizb ut-Tahrir and jihadists, is tactics, not goals. Qaradawi was #6 in the book co authored by Esposito in 2009 featuring the world's 500 most influential Muslims.
Similarly, when Muslims and the Western heirs of the Enlightenment speak of tolerance they have different things in mind.
Internationally recognized as one of the world's leading authorities on Islamic law and jurisprudence, modern Arab and Iraqi history, and politics. Even though he is not a sharia scholar, he is on this page because that is mostly what his The Calcutta Qur'an Petition (1986) is - quotes of Koranic commentaries by famous sharia scholars, in an attempt to ban the Koran in India. If you have any examples, please send documentary evidence so I can add it to the Tiny Minority of Extremists page, coming up next. For a€?averagea€? Bill Rabe was not: he was unconventional, made the most of it, and to those of us who knew him, is unforgettable. Marie on Michigana€™s Upper Peninsula, at the Canadian border, and soon had a new life there as the official island historian of nearby Mackinac Island, dubbed by him a€?the Miami Beach of the North,a€? and as press agent for its historic and majestic Grand Hotel.
He liked laughter, and was an enthusiastic member of The Sons of the Desert, the Laurel & Hardy fan club. He tape-recorded memorable moments at BSI dinners and other events, issuing them on a set of records called Voices from Baker Street, now available on compact disc from Wessex Press. It was in fact to foster a sense of community, more than anything else, that prompted Bill Rabe to undertake this project. Then he went up to his attic, found the old carton with those four jumbo binders containing the raw material for the 1968 Whoa€™s Who & Whata€™s, and shipped them to me.
We continue to stand by the analyses, findings and conclusions reported in our earlier publications. Leicester was the 14th-best team in the league last year in terms of points (and they were better than that in terms of goal differential, which is probably a better indicator of underlying quality). They simply deny that it is a principle of Islam that jihad may include wars of aggression. Mashriqia€™s book Tazkirah (a commentary of the Quran) was nominated for the 1925 Nobel Prize in Literature. What is the good of us (the mullahs) asking for the hand of a thief to be severed or an adulteress to be stoned to death when all we can do is recommend such punishments, having no power to implement them?
Because of his huge influence, and to understand the significance of his connections with Moderatea„? American Muslim leaders that you will see in the Muslim Brotherhood page, you must understand what believes. He became interested in James Montgomerya€™s extracanonical song a€?Aunt Clara,a€? tracked its multiple versions and long-lost origins to a songwritera€™s alcoholic Christmas haze in 1936, and set forth its history and folklore in a splendid and profusely illustrated volume entitled We Always Mention Aunt Clara.
This hideous libel led, in the next edition, to an appendix containing an irate letter from the well-known science-fiction writer and Scowrer Poul Anderson, a€?The Dreadful Abernetty Business,a€? BSI, who had witnessed Ms. Printed on a University of Detroit imported (a good, though not a great year) offset press under the personal supervision of Dick Masserang,a€? and so on.
The data they contain facilitated the Archival History volumes that followed, and those shabby and precious binders continue to sit on a bookshelf in my study where I consult them frequently today. Anyway, the idea that ita€™s a 5000 to 1 shot for the 14th best team in one year to win the league in the next is obviously absurd on its face. Fouad Ajami said "Professor Khadduri was one of the pioneers of Middle Eastern studies in the United States.
Smith, who had been so much for so long not only to the BSI, but Sherlockians broadly, had died in 1960, and Whoa€™s Who & Whata€™s What was undertaken because of that. When Rabe retired in 1967 he lost those resources, the PC-based era of self-publishing was not yet at hand, and four crammed jumbo three-ring binders in which he had been collecting data for the a€?68 edition went into a cardboard box stored in the attic of his new home in remote Sault Ste. Bill Rabea€™s Sherlockian Whoa€™s Who & Whata€™s What was and remains a great accomplishment of permanent value. In 1930 I sent him my Isharat concerning the Khaksar movement with a picture of a spade-bearer Khaksar at the end of that book. According to prosecutors, the 1993 bombing of the World Trade Center (WTC), which killed six people, was part of the conspiracy. Smith himself, plus an exchange of letters between Anderson and Bigelow with the latter blaming the error on slipshod BSI record-keeping and promising to be careful in the future. There was much fear, when Edgar died, that our communiona€™s single, indispensable factor had departed; that all Sherlockian fellowship, with the animating spirit now grown still, might swiftly falter and soon expire. THESE VERY SAME ENFORCEMENT AGENCIES, WHO HAVE SWORN TO PROTECT AND SERVE, OUR COUNTRY, AND CITIZENS ,ARE BUT SOME, OF THE CORRUPT,GREEDY TRAITORS .ENGAGED IN THE TYRANNY AND TORTURE.
The intention of Mohammed, in what he said of jihad, may have been misunderstood and misrepresented.
Probably the best word to be said about this volume is that it quite extinguishes such fear.
A A THEREFORE, MAN IS MADE IN THE IMAGE OF GOD FOR THE SOLE PURPOSE OF CONTAINING THE CONTENT OF GOD; THUS, WITHOUT RECEIVING GOD IN OUR SPIRIT, WE CANNOT EXPRESS GOD AS CONFIRMED IN 2 COR. Islam says: Whatever good there it exists thanks to the sword and in the shadow of the sword! Founded the Shaybani Society of International Law, and was a founder of the Middle East Institute, and the University of Libya, where he became dean in 1957. Until the newer conceptions, as to what the Koran teaches as to the duty of the believer towards non-believers, have spread further..
UNLIKE IN THE NATURAL BIOGRAPHY, THERE IS NO CONDEMNATION OR FEAR OF SIN AND DEATHBECAUSE, IN CHRIST, THERE IS LIFE,LIBERTY, AND JUSTICE FOR ALL. MOST IMPORTANTLY, IT IS A LOVE STORY THAT REVEALS THE HEART OF GODA THROUGH THE PERSON OF HIS SON, JESUS. THEREFORE, A PERSON MUST HAVE FIRST PLACED THEIR FAITH IN CHRIST FOR SALVATION BEFOREA TAKINGA COMMUNION (MATT. The school district has moved to a biometric identification program, saying students will no longer have to use an ID card to buy lunch.A  BIOMETRICS TO TRACK YOUR KIDS!!!!!i»?i»?A TARGETED INDIVIDUALS, THE GREEDY CRIMINALS ARE NOW CONDONING THEIR TECH!
Paul Weindling, history of medicine professor at Oxford Brookes University, describes his search for the lost victims of Nazi experiments.
The chairman of the board at ESL a€” then proprietor of the desert wasteland in Nevada known as a€?Area 51a€? a€” was William Perry, who would be appointed secretary of defense several years later. EUCACH.ORG PanelIn a 2-hour wide-ranging Panel with Alfred Lambremont Webre on the Transhumanist Agenda, Magnus Olsson, Dr.
Henning Witte, and Melanie Vritschan, three experts from the European Coalition Against Covert Harassment, revealed recent technological advances in human robotization and nano implant technologies, and an acceleration of what Melanie Vritschan characterized as a a€?global enslavement programa€?.Shift from electromagnetic to scalar wavesThese technologies have now shifted from electromagnetic wave to scalar waves and use super quantum computers in the quantum cloud to control a€?pipesa€? a reference to the brains of humans that have been taken over via DNA, via implants that can be breathed can breach the blood-brain barrier and then controlled via scalar waved on a super-grid.
Eventually, such 'subvocal speech' systems could be used in spacesuits, in noisy places like airport towers to capture air-traffic controller commands, or even in traditional voice-recognition programs to increase accuracy, according to NASA scientists."What is analyzed is silent, or sub auditory, speech, such as when a person silently reads or talks to himself," said Chuck Jorgensen, a scientist whose team is developing silent, subvocal speech recognition at NASA Ames Research Center in California's Silicon Valley. We numbered the columns and rows, and we could identify each letter with a pair of single-digit numbers," Jorgensen said. People in noisy conditions could use the system when privacy is needed, such as during telephone conversations on buses or trains, according to scientists."An expanded muscle-control system could help injured astronauts control machines. If an astronaut is suffering from muscle weakness due to a long stint in microgravity, the astronaut could send signals to software that would assist with landings on Mars or the Earth, for example," Jorgensen explained.
These are processed to remove noise, and then we process them to see useful parts of the signals to show one word from another," Jorgensen said.After the signals are amplified, computer software 'reads' the signals to recognize each word and sound. Our Research and Development Division has been in contact with the Federal Bureau of Prisons, the California Department of Corrections, the Texas Department of Public Safety, and the Massachusetts Department of Correction to run limited trials of the 2020 neural chip implant.
We have established representatives of our interests in both management and institutional level positions within these departments. Federal regulations do not yet permit testing of implants on prisoners, but we have entered nto contractual agreements with privatized health care professionals and specified correctional personnel to do limited testing of our products. We need, however, to expand our testing to research how effective the 2020 neural chip implant performs in those identified as the most aggressive in our society.
In California, several prisoners were identified as members of the security threat group, EME, or Mexican Mafia. They were brought to the health services unit at Pelican Bay and tranquilized with advanced sedatives developed by our Cambridge,Massachussetts laboratories.
The results of implants on 8 prisoners yielded the following results: a€?Implants served as surveillance monitoring device for threat group activity.
However, during that period substantial data was gathered by our research and development team which suggests that the implants exceed expected results.
One of the major concerns of Security and the R & D team was that the test subject would discover the chemial imbalance during the initial adjustment period and the test would have to be scurbbed. However, due to advanced technological developments in the sedatives administered, the 48 hour adjustment period can be attributed t prescription medication given to the test subjects after the implant procedure. One of the concerns raised by R & D was the cause of the bleeding and how to eliminate that problem. Unexplained bleeding might cause the subject to inquire further about his "routine" visit to the infirmary or health care facility.
Security officials now know several strategies employed by the EME that facilitate the transmission of illegal drugs and weapons into their correctional facilities.
One intelligence officier remarked that while they cannot use the informaiton that have in a court of law that they now know who to watch and what outside "connections" they have. The prison at Soledad is now considering transferring three subjects to Vacaville wher we have ongoing implant reserach.
Our technicians have promised that they can do three 2020 neural chip implants in less than an hour.
Soledad officials hope to collect information from the trio to bring a 14 month investigation into drug trafficking by correctional officers to a close. Essentially, the implants make the unsuspecting prisoner a walking-talking recorder of every event he comes into contact with.
There are only five intelligence officers and the Commisoner of Corrections who actually know the full scope of the implant testing.
In Massachusetts, the Department of Corrections has already entered into high level discussion about releasing certain offenders to the community with the 2020 neural chip implants.
Our people are not altogether against the idea, however, attorneys for Intelli-Connection have advised against implant technology outside strick control settings. While we have a strong lobby in the Congress and various state legislatures favoring our product, we must proceed with the utmost caution on uncontrolled use of the 2020 neural chip. If the chip were discovered in use not authorized by law and the procedure traced to us we could not endure for long the resulting publicity and liability payments. Massachusetts officials have developed an intelligence branch from their Fugitive Task Force Squad that would do limited test runs under tight controls with the pre-release subjects. Correctons officials have dubbed these poetnetial test subjects "the insurance group." (the name derives from the concept that the 2020 implant insures compliance with the law and allows officials to detect misconduct or violations without question) A retired police detective from Charlestown, Massachusetts, now with the intelligence unit has asked us to consider using the 2020 neural chip on hard core felons suspected of bank and armored car robbery. He stated, "Charlestown would never be the same, we'd finally know what was happening before they knew what was happening." We will continue to explore community uses of the 2020 chip, but our company rep will be attached to all law enforcement operations with an extraction crrew that can be on-site in 2 hours from anywhere at anytime. We have an Intelli-Connection discussion group who is meeting with the Director of Security at Florence, Colorado's federal super maximum security unit. The initial discussions with the Director have been promising and we hope to have an R & D unit at this important facilitly within the next six months. Napolitano insisted that the department was not planning on engaging in any form of ideological profiling. I will tell him face-to-face that we honor veterans at DHS and employ thousands across the department, up to and including the Deputy Secretary," Ms. Steve Buyer of Indiana, the ranking Republican on the House Committee on Veterans' Affairs, called it "inconceivable" that the Obama administration would categorize veterans as a potential threat.



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