Since 2006, when the NBA made high school players ineligible for the NBA Draft, there has been continuous discontent expressed about college basketball’s “one-and-done” problem.
The numbers show that the real destabilizing force in Division I men’s basketball is transfer behavior. 13 student-athletes from that class left after one year to play professionally, while 209 departed for other reasons.
By the way, 30 of the 32 one-and-done NBA draftees over the past four years fully completed their spring-term academic commitments.


However, only 8 college frosh have been drafted on average each year since 2007 (11 was the maximum in 2008). About 20% of all freshman men’s basketball players leave their initial school after one year and 40% in total are gone by the end of year two. Playing pro basketball is certainly an expectation for many Division I players— 76% of them tell us in surveys they think it’s likely they’ll get to the pros eventually. Nearly two-thirds of the one-and-done NBA draftees since 2010 were early departures from just six schools—Kentucky (13), Kansas (4), Duke (3), Texas (3), Arizona (2) and UCLA (2).


But might the real impact of those pro dreams be transfer chaos and stunted degree progress as student-athletes search for an opportunity to play and perhaps shine?



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