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The Institute for Energy Research is a not-for-profit organization that conducts intensive research and analysis on the functions, operations, and government regulation of global energy markets.
Renewable generation reached large gains in 2011, but that increase was due to a very good hydroelectric year. EIA, in its Short-Term Energy Outlook[i], is forecasting that hydroelectric generation will decline by 13.6 percent this year, and while other renewable energy will make gains, they will not be sufficient to compensate for the losses in hydroelectric generation. While solar power has a huge percentage increase, its base is so small that its increased generation is smaller than that of wind power and in concert with the other non-hydroelectric renewable energy sources of generation.

In 2011 and 2012, hydroelectric power still makes up over 55 percent of renewable generation, with all the other sources combined making up the rest.
Also expected to decrease is the production of ethanol due to the severe drought in the Midwest this summer, but the decrease is small measured on an annual basis—less than 1 percent between 2011 and 2012. Hydroelectricity in 2012 is on the decline, producing 14 percent less electricity through the first 7 months of this year compared to last year. For comparison purposes, solar power’s projected generation in 2012 would supply about one-third of Maine’s 2011 electric power needs.
But just looking at the summer period, the drought conditions that depressed corn harvests caused ethanol production to fall from 890 thousand barrels per day during the second quarter of 2012 to 806 thousand barrels per day in October 2012—a drop of over 9 percent. Read each one carefully and remember to keep using these strategies every day. Richard is a life and business coach.

Through the first 7 months of 2012 hydroelectricity produced 30 billion kilowatt hours less electricity than through the first 7 months of 2011. The forecasters at the Energy Information Administration (EIA) expect that trend to continue and that the increases in other renewable energy (wind, solar, and geothermal) will not make up the difference in hydroelectricity’s decline this year. In fact, EIA expects total renewable energy consumption to decline by 2.6 percent in 2012 due to hydroelectric power generation returning to its long-term average level.

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