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11.10.2014
GfK’s overall consumer confidence index remained stable at zero in March, unchanged from February, at its lowest level since December 2014.
The New Zealand government's books remain in surplus as higher-than-expected tax revenue allow it to beat Treasury forecasts. As companies share their expectations for coming months, the proportion of raised forecasts to those that are lowered is the healthiest it has been since 2011, according to Thomson Reuters data. The Fort McMurray wildfire is now being considered a disaster on the level of Hurricane Katrina.
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The Federal Reserve’s decision to leave interest rates at historic lows have highlighted the perilous position the global economy is in, with potentially grave implications for trade. Economists were torn as to whether the Fed would decide to make even the most incremental increase to the 0-0.25% rate it has held since late-2008.
The dollar fell on last week’s decision – which board members have said was a “close call” – usually a bullish scenario for commodities. Officials have admitted that weaknesses in emerging markets – many of which hold large current account deficits and would be hit heavily by a rise in the dollar interest rate – played on their minds, as did the ongoing concern over the economic situation in China.
The global economic situation has been getting bleaker as the year grows on, but despite this, it’s expected that a Fed hike will occur at some point before the end of the year.
Indonesia and Malaysia have been named by Arjen van Dijkhuizen, chief economist at ABN Amro, as the most vulnerable to lift off. Another argument is that the Fed hike has been such an inevitability, most economies and investors should by now have built it into their modelling and, therefore, the effects should be manageable.
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The decision to postpone shows that the board is wary of the potential knock-on effects around the world.


An initial rally, however, was held only in gold, suggesting that the Fed’s wariness has failed to inspire confidence in the commodities sectors. HSBC’s US chief economist has predicted a rise for December, while others have been speculating about the potential impact on emerging Asia. Low interest rates are typically positive for commodities since it encourages borrowing, but despite the record low dollar rate, prices have been in freefall for more than 12 months. That, in theory, should also hit emerging markets, including those in Asia, where worries over currency weakness and excessive leverage have continued to grow.
All GM genuine replacement parts are guaranteed to meet all of the manufacturers specifications and carry the same warranty as with GM vehicles. If you reside in an EU member state besides UK, import VAT on this purchase is not recoverable. There are fears that even the slightest hike could provide further problems for Asia Pacific economies such as Australia, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines and Vietnam.
Nail- biting stuff,” he wrote in a recent research note, before espousing the alternative view.



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