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Posted on 30 December 2010 by John Cook I've added another pic to the high-rez Climate Graphics. If you put all the arrows in white, then the reader can go from one to another without being distracted, and can "comfortably" make their own judgment about each one, without any one of them standing out more than the others.
0 0Response: The 'Indicators of Warming World' graphic is to establish that warming is happening. Just a small quibble -- it makes more sense to talk about species expanding or shifting their ranges towards the poles, or into cooler regions. Maybe then an arrow should be added next to each arrow with Hansen's prediction to scale with what has happened.
0 0Moderator Response: (Daniel Bailey) Thanks, then it should be a simple matter for you to provide a link to support your position on the graphic. I understood the article to be about effect (what is happening) rather than cause (what made it happen).
In case you hadn't noticed, the 'opposing views' often drop in for a visit; some try to apply for permanent resident status. It is better to get scientific knowledge from primary sources, or sources which directly link to such, than from a "balanced spread" of opinion blogs.
It is best to trace new publishings back to the primary source so that the full context can be understood. Yes, you can get more primary by linking to the publisher of the interview, rather than an opinion blog hosting a clip. Paul, there is really three 'holy grails' left in the science of anthropogenic warming and they are (1) equilibrium climate sensitivity for doubling (or more of CO2), and even the current best estimate of +3C was derived over the course of many decades using multiple, independent lines of evidence.
Science will continue to advance though (without the help of Montford et al.), regional impacts will be improved, decadal predictions will improve etc.
Like others here, I urge you to avoid some of the more notorious politically-motivated climate science misinformation (and conspiracy) sites. A quick perusal of any thread on this science blog will show that dissenting and controversial views are openly accepted and entertained. Just re-post it there (with a hyperlink here) and I'm sure people will hop over to the relevant thread to discuss it. Contrarians and deniers already get much more exposure than their relatively small numbers (and dubious logic) would normally get them. The romantic idea that deniers are underdogs are rightly fighting for what they believe is a mirage. Sorry, John, I should also have mentioned that it is a very compelling graph, and I like it a lot! Looking at your link for North Hemisphere snow cover I really can't see a change in arrow after 1988, basically a flatline in snow cover for 22 years, so the snow cover arrow in the graphic should be horizontal.
Sea surface temperatures have risen but if you look at the rates of past increases and decreases it seems SST change can happen in relative short time span. Sea level is continuing to rise but the rate is not accelerating so that arrow is a good one. Since CO2 levels are still rising but some of the arrows are not currently rising an alternate explanation may resolve this issue. Since your basic premise is wrong, it then follows the rest of youra argument falls apart as well.
I really wish so-called "skeptics" weren't so credulous of oft-debunked pseudoscientific arguments.
Not surprisingly an independent analysis of the data by Tamino back in 2008 came to a very similar conclusion-- N. I looked at both graphs you linked to and neither show a decrease in snow cover since 1988.
That requires something many fail to notice: If each year's snow season (from summer min to winter max) starts lower but ends at about the same area, there must be more (and thus heavier) snowfall during each successive season. Look at it from an energy point of view: There is more energy in the climate system to both evaporate water and melt ice.


If you take all the 'indicators' in the graphic ( and ignore the debate about some science being settled and some science being 'moved-on'?),which decade do we consider as the baseline period for each of the indicators or, when was the optimum decade for the earth?
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The author of this blog post takes full responsibility for the exaggerated awfulness of this slide. In large part, the eye-glazing qualities of slideshow based instruction can be blamed on presentation style (i.e. Nonetheless, the linear style of a slide show, while suitable for most presentations, may not be the best model for instruction, where questions from and interaction with students may force you to deviate from your planned presentations. Prezi is a relatively new (2009) web-based presentation tool which does away with slides in favor of a large, editable white space commonly called an “infinite canvas”? (Although Prezi’s learning materials use the term “Prezi Canvas”? instead). Prezi is an attractive instructional tool for a number of reasons, many of which also hold for library instruction in particular. One big benefit of the canvas as opposed to the slides is that it is possible to get an overview of the entire presentation at once.  This, coupled with visual grouping of related items, can easily show how a presentation is structured, as well as being used in other contexts to show the relationships between different groups of items. Another nice thing about the canvas is that you can actually use Prezi to organize your ideas, as well as just creating a presentation.  Since you can see all your ideas on the same page, it can be easier to spot commonalities and differences, and structure your presentation accordingly.
Although Prezi’s canvas is a wonderful tool, it is best when supplemented by the system’s “presentation path”? tool.  This allows users to give each item placed on the canvas a numeric value, turning the disparate items placed on the canvas into an easily clickable moving presentation.
Once all items have been given a number on the path, users can navigate through the presentation with the click of a button–either the left or right arrow on the keyboard, or by clicking on the on-screen equivalent with a mouse.
Just because you’re using a path, however, doesn’t mean you’re limited to using it.  Unlike in a slideshow, in Prezi you can also freely zoom around the canvas of your presentation with the system’s “smart zoom”? functionality. What this allows you to do as a presenter is organize your talk in a sensible manner, and then deviate from your plan as circumstances dictate.  The combination of zooming and pathing represents a more dynamic, practical approach than the locked-in, static method of a slideshow, where the only way to move around within the presentation is through a cumbersome process of clicking the ‘stop’ button, scrolling around for the slide you want, discussing it, scrolling back to the slide you were on, and continuing your presentation. Much like Powerpoint and other slideshow software, Prezi does include the option to change the text and background color of your presentation through the use of pre-set themes.  For more tech-savvy users, there’s also the option to modify the CSS directly, without use of a wizard. Although you can’t modify the shapes of the frames much, almost everything else is easy to change with either of these tools. Of course, if you do use custom colors or CSS, it’s important–as always–to make sure your presentation’s text is still legible! Insert images — If you’re artistically inclined, or have access to high-quality, usable images, the “canvas”? of Prezi really opens up.  You can interweave uploaded drawings with the textual content of Prezi in interesting, novel ways. 3D backgrounds — Instead of inserting a flat background image, you can include several, and layer them using Prezi’s theme tool.  Then, the software will implement a parallax effect when zooming which makes the background pop out as though it were 3-dimensional.
One of the best things about Prezi is that it’s freely available to anybody with Internet access and the right software plugins–the latter of which should be included by default on almost all computers. Anybody can create a Prezi account at no cost, although free accounts include a “Prezi”? logo at the bottom of the screen and a limited amount of storage space, among a few other limitations.
You can give presentations from the Prezi website, or (with an Edu account) by downloading a SWF file that you can run from any computer with or without Internet access.
Prezi’s zooming feature is very easy to over-use.  If you make a Prezi that’s too zoomy, or in which the items you’ve uploaded all face very different directions, you may end up making your audience sick–and you certainly won’t keep their focus. Prezi has a rather steep learning curve.  It’s not what we’re used to seeing in presentation software, and so it can take quite a while to get used to how things are organized and where to find all the options (although see the addendum at the bottom of this post for an update on that).
While there may also be other drawbacks to the software as a presentation tool, overall its benefits seem to outweigh these costs.  Especially given that Prezi adds new features regularly, and is likely (at least for now) to be something students haven’t seen a whole lot of, Prezi should make any instruction session a more memorable experience. Hunger Games Readalike — This Prezi (also by Becky Canovan) breaks out of the path altogether, using Prezi as a way to show relationships between items. The magical theory of relativity — This Prezi by Petra Marjai is an amazing example of what you can do with animation and extensive customization, as well as Prezi’s zoomable canvas features. If you’re new to Prezi, hopefully you won’t even notice, but if you’ve tried it before and got lost in the learning curve, now would be a great time to give the software another try. Working Group I Contribution to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Annex I, Glossary, pp. It doesn't speak at all to the cause of the warming - that is coming in an upcoming post (although you can get a good idea of what it will say in the Scientific Guide to Global Warming Skepticism which features an update of this old blog post).
All it takes is a snow storm somewhere for the knee-jerk reaction "aha, global warming has stopped".


I want to say thanks for all the work you are doing for our children - the children of the world!! Maybe a companion graphic (yeah,I know, it's much easier to just suggest stuff for someone else to produce)for negative impacts from GW and another for evidence of human causes for GW.
Would it now be possible to get some critical thoughts on Dr Lockwood's statement in the referenced interview? This site, RealClimate, and others are extremely valuable to me as I gain greater understanding of Climate Science. They have transformed an old journalistic concept - there's two sides to every story - into a way to manipulate the scientific discourse to their advantage. Sure, sometimes it's inaccurate, or false, but science has a way of correcting itself (publication in peer-reviewed journals, for example).
Deniers oppose AGW theory on principle, because it disagrees with their political position. I encourage you to continue reading the articles on this site, and to make your own judgement. This data has recently been reviewed on this site and current scientific estimates are 1-2 meters of sea level rise, approximately five times what your blog claims. It seems all of their skepticism vanishes when they find something that reinforces their preconceived opinion. The first places man as the controller of the environment, both good and bad and the other is just an observation that the planet's surface is getting warmer. From now on, I'll do what I'm doing here - append any additions to existing moderator responses so there's less confusion. When someone tells you global warming isn't happening, this serves as a visual reminder that you need to consider all the evidence to understand what's happening to our climate.
But if you're able to take a step back, peruse all the evidence for a warming world and acknowledge that yes, the planet is building up heat and warming, then all credit to you.
If you Google "Lockwood a-hundred-years-of-freezing" you can see it on a different website. There is no alterior motive, but to learn and understand with inputs from both sides of the climate debate. Visiting denier sites is also important to me so I can collect the pros and cons, and as a lay person, make the most informed decision. Just remember this isn't a debate between two equally valid ideas, but of current science vs.
Signs of warming are being found not only all over the globe but in many different systems.
If you shelter yourself to just blogs that agree with your present view, how will you ever know if you have the whole picture, or challenge thought with opposing views? Powerful economic interests may have turned it into a political issue, but in the end the question remains a scientific one, and the amount of evidence supporting AGW leaves little room for doubt. I have not commented much as facing the rath of the regulars here is not very wise unless you have all of your facts straight. Lockwood ignited some questions that I thought you guys might be able to shed some light on.
The attentive reader may have noticed it bears more than a passing resemblance to a pic from the NOAA State of the Climate Report. Yes, I borrowed the concept from them but hey, in the NOAA Report (page 4), they borrowed my graphic on where global warming is going so we're even! There is a fantastic paper A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems (Parmesan & Yohe 2003). What they find is the distribution of plants and animals are shifting towards the poles around 6 kilometres per decade.
Animals are also mating earlier and I'm fairly sure this is because of warming, not because they're getting randier.




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