The Warning Triangle is an integral part of breakdown and emergency safety items which helps to alert other motorists that your car is stationary after breaking down or in an emergency situation. View our older posts from The AA Special Operations Response Team (AASORT) and expert meteorologist Matthew Hugo. With April essentially done and dusted attention turns to May, a month which often brings the first significantly warm and summer-like weather of the year. This week will see some fine and settled conditions at times, but the wait continues for any significant warmth in many areas.
The week is forecast to start on a cool and showery note as low pressure situated to the north-east brings a mixture of sunshine and showers across many areas on a cool and blustery north-westerly wind which will be strong across many northern and western areas.
Showers could be heavy into the afternoon with a risk of thunder locally across Scotland and Northern England. By the middle of the week high pressure is expected to become increasingly influential bringing finer and more settled conditions to most areas apart from Scotland. Further low pressure systems are forecast to move across Scotland between Tuesday and Thursday bringing showers and longer spells of rain at times, with further windy conditions as well. For the majority of the UK and especially for England and Wales high pressure (1024mb to 1028mb) will lead to a settled period of weather between Tuesday and Thursday with bright or sunny spells by day but chilly nights for early May with a continued risk of frost in rural areas. Whilst it will feel pleasantly warm in the sunshine, daytime temperatures will still only be around average with highs ranging between 12C and 15C.
Unfortunately the fine and settled conditions won’t last, with the forecast models all signaling increasingly unsettled conditions returning on Friday, setting the scene for a cool and unsettled Bank Holiday Weekend at the moment. Saturday will begin on quite a chilly note with a potential ground frost across many inland areas, something for gardeners to be aware of.
Sunday starts dry and frosty for many southern areas but a developing area of low pressure to the north of the UK will have an associated weather front associated with it and this is forecast to move down across the UK through the day.
What a great week for being outdoors on a training course; As many of you will know already the majority of the people in AA SORT are certified swiftwater rescue technicians (SRTs), trained by the same people who train the RNLI and many fire service teams.
We have another group of people going through a training course in North Wales this week and by all accounts they are doing really well and having a lot of fun (sssh don’t tell the management). The changeable weather of late is set to continue throughout the remainder of the week with a variety of weather types forecast to be in evidence. To the South of these weather fronts quite a warm air mass exists across Central and Southern areas of England with temperatures today (Wednesday) and into Thursday both generally above average with maximum temperatures across South-east England for example ranging between 17C and 20C, so a warm couple of day’s is expected to continue for Southern areas. So enjoy the warmth over the next day or so across the South as the end of the week will deliver some very late chilly conditions and a generally cool, if not rather cold theme is currently forecast to continue into the coming weekend. The coming week will produce some rather varied and changeable conditions across the UK as some unsettled conditions are expected across northern areas in particular, whilst more southern areas are often dry and relatively warm, at least for most of the week.
The week starts on a mild and damp note as frontal systems associated with low pressure to the north-west of the UK continue to move across many areas during today (Monday) and produce some outbreaks of rain and drizzle in places, but without producing any significant rainfall. A general north and south divide then develops during the middle of the week with a set of frontal systems set to cross parts of Ireland, Scotland and Northern England during Wednesday and also into Thursday. After some particularly active weather over the last few days from heavy rain leading to some localised flooding and also some very strong winds affecting parts of Northern England in particular, the coming weekend will generally be quieter but also produce two contrasting days.
A ridge of high pressure building into the UK through the rest of today (Friday) will continue to remain influential into Saturday across many areas. A change then takes place overnight on Saturday and through into Sunday as the high pressure declines away into the near Continent and once again we look towards the Atlantic for further weather fronts and low pressure systems.
So Saturday, for most areas, is definitely the best day of the weekend with some pleasant spring sunshine and temperatures near or perhaps just slightly below average, before increasingly unsettled conditions return during Sunday and also continue into Monday as well.
The conference uniquely combines world-class speakers, a trade exhibition featuring manufacturers and distributors of the world's leading technical rescue equipment, and practical instructor update workshops.
Another noteworthy area of low pressure will dominate the weather across many areas of the UK throughout the next 24 to 36hrs.
Starting with the precipitation and a general 15mm to 25mm of rainfall is expected quite widely across Scotland, Ireland and Northern England throughout Wednesday and into Thursday.
The second cause for concern is the development of some very strong winds across the southern flank of the low pressure later today and overnight into Thursday across Ireland, Irish Sea coastal areas and across into Southern Scotland, North Wales and Northern England. Unsettled and very windy conditions with further rain or showers are then likely to continue well into Thursday, particularly for northern areas.
After many weeks of cold conditions the weather has most certainly and finally changed, and we are now experiencing more of an Atlantic influence to our weather, where Atlantic low pressure systems move into the UK off the Atlantic in association with west or south-westerly winds. Of particular concern in the short term is the development of another area of low pressure approaching from the south-west later today (Monday) and through into Tuesday. During Friday a ridge of high pressure is forecast to build into the UK and this will signal an increasingly settled end to the week, with settled conditions expected to continue into the coming weekend. The weather through the rest of the week and into the coming weekend will generally become dominated by low pressure. The coming weekend will see a deepening North Atlantic depression become dominant to the west of the UK and this will be quite a vigorous area of low pressure.
Within the red area up to and over 20mm to 30mm of rainfall is possible, especially across the hills of west and south-west Scotland and winds gusting up to 50mph to 60mph are possible. We are here in North Wales to take part in Exercise Berwyn, a multi agency flooding exercise around the Bala area in Gwynedd.
AA SORT are providing 16 Swiftwater Rescue Technicians, our specially adapted Land Rovers and a water rescue raft.
Other participating agencies include Wales Inland Water and Flood Rescue Group, including all three Fire and Rescue Services in Wales, North Wales Police, the RNLI, RAF Search and Rescue, Natural Resources Wales, Gwynedd Council, Welsh Ambulance Services NHS Trust, the RSPCA, Severn Area Rescue Association, Maritime and Coastguard Agency, and North Wales Mountain Rescue Association.
The AA’s severe weather team, AA Special Operations, is taking part in a major training exercise designed to test emergency flood response in Wales. The event (Exercise Berwyn) takes place in Bala, Gwynedd, today and tomorrow (9-10 April) led by North Wales Fire and Rescue Service and supported by the Welsh Government.
The AA has been involved from the initial planning stages last year and is contributing two eight-crew specialist flood rescue teams, Land Rovers and rescue raft.


After many weeks of persistently cold conditions due to high pressure to the north of the UK, a change in weather patterns is and will continue to take place through this coming week. The opening few days of the week will generally experience a north and south split in conditions. During Wednesday and Thursday another area of low pressure developing to the south-west of the UK is forecast to make a more significant movement northwards across the UK. The cold conditions are still forecast to continue into the first weekend of April, but it should feel somewhat milder than of late as winds become much lighter across many areas of the UK. The long awaited change in the expected weather is still forecast to take place into next week as more unsettled conditions (low pressure) move in off the North Atlantic. So, if you like the cold and predominantly sunny conditions then make the most of the coming weekend, as next week’s weather will be markedly different as we finally see the arrival of some Atlantic-orientated weather in the form of low pressure systems. The start of April hasn’t heralded a change in the weather and many areas of the UK, whilst predominantly dry, remain cold for the time of year. The opening week of April will maintain the cold theme and that is forecast to continue throughout the rest of this coming week. The easterly flow may still bring a few wintry flurries to parts of the east of the UK throughout the rest of the week but as with previous day’s these will not amount to much and no significant or disruptive snowfall is to be expected. At the moment various forecast models maintain the colder theme into the coming weekend, but a complete pattern change is forecast to develop into early next week as we finally, after many weeks, lose high pressure to the north of the UK and it is replaced by lower pressure developing to the west and north-west. So, after many weeks of persistently cold and wintry conditions, the end is in sight and beyond the forth coming weekend a change in the weather will take place as northern blocking and cold continental winds are replaced by milder, but generally more unsettled conditions from the Atlantic.
These kits are fitted with everything you'll need in case your car breaks down on the side of the road.
Our range of industry standard repair kits and solutions provide everything you need to prevent a small pothole becoming a big problem. This has a forged steel, rust and rot resistant safety hooks to safely hook to the vehicle. During Saturday high pressure located to the west of the UK will combine with lower pressure to the east to produce a rather chilly north or north-easterly wind, before this becomes more west or north-westerly into Sunday as low pressure approaches. A mixture of sunshine and April showers are expected for many areas on Saturday and some of the showers could remain quite heavy across England and Wales into the afternoon. As a result a wet and windy start is expected for Scotland, Ireland and Northern England with a spell of rain for a time and this then clearing to sunshine and blustery showers and these perhaps wintry on hills of Scotland.
One of the first is a spell of wet weather across Central and Northern areas of the UK, particularly across parts of Southern Scotland and down into Northern England as a series of frontal systems moves across this area of the UK throughout the next 24 to 48hrs bringing some persistent rainfall at times. Tuesday will experience similar conditions with a continued mild and moist west or south-westerly air mass across most areas given that lower pressure will be dominant to the north of UK, as high pressure remains influential just to the south.
This is forecast to bring a zone of wet weather with rain and showers to the areas mentioned.
Low pressure is forecast to become dominant across many areas of the UK to end the week at the moment and bringing sunshine and April showers to many areas, these heavy and perhaps thundery at times. With atmospheric pressure set to rise up to and over 1030mb across parts of England and Wales on Saturday, then predominantly dry and fine conditions will dominate. A weather front moving into the UK later in the day on Saturday will bring some rain or showers and a strengthening south-westerly wind across many northern and western areas overnight on Saturday and this weather front will then slowly move south and east during Sunday.
This area of low pressure is forecast to bring not only heavy and persistent rainfall but also some very strong winds as well to parts of the north and west of the UK in particular. However, it is across parts of Ireland and up into west and south-west Scotland that in excess of 40mm to 50mm of rainfall is possible by the end of Thursday, which is 2 inches or perhaps more. However and fortunately, a building ridge of high pressure is then forecast to bring about a totally different type of weather to end the week and produce far more settled conditions for many areas.
This vigorous area of low pressure is forecast to pass just to the west of Ireland overnight and be centered very close to western Scotland into Tuesday. However, and finally, a significant change in wind direction will lead to the development of much milder conditions across many areas of the UK over the weekend. What the low pressure will do though is combine with higher pressure to the south-east to produce a very mild, if not warm south or south-westerly air mass across England and Wales in particular. So, whilst it may well feel markedly milder this weekend for many, across northern and western areas in particular this will be offset by some particularly wet and windy conditions.
We are a small part of a large exercise undertaking simulated flood rescues in challenging conditions.
It involves all the emergency services and other responders, including among others HM Coastguard, Natural Resources Wales, Gwynedd County Council, RAF Search and Rescue, Mountain Rescue and RNLI. The exercise will involve dealing with rescuing trapped casualties, carrying out fast-flowing water rescues and deploying an array of flood rescue equipment and personnel. Atlantic low pressure systems will finally get an opportunity to become more dominant and bring a far more unsettled spell of weather across the UK then experienced for some considerable time. Many central and southern areas of the UK will be at risk of overcast conditions with outbreaks of rain or showers becoming increasingly widespread through the rest of today (Monday) and into Tuesday.
As a result during Wednesday and into Thursday more extensive outbreaks of rain or showers are expected to progress northwards into Northern England and perhaps Scotland as well. Given that temperatures will generally remain below average, especially from the Midlands northwards then some wintry precipitation will remain possible across northern hills and there may also be some icy patches locally as well across northern areas of the UK. Throughout the majority of the coming weekend high pressure is forecast to build into the UK and bring predominantly fine and settled conditions. As a result after some particularly quiet and benign weather of late a progression towards far more unsettled conditions with showers, longer spells of rain and perhaps strong winds are expected into next week. Clearly the data has become official and March 2013 was the coldest March month in just over 50 years with a persistent cold, blocked weather pattern that brought well below average temperatures, frequent frosts and ice and also some significant snowfall at times.
High pressure remains an influential feature just to the north of the UK and will continue to combine with lower pressure to the south of the UK to maintain a cold easterly air mass across most areas.
As a result a generally more unsettled but milder weather pattern is forecast to develop from approximately the 8th and 9th of April onwards.


With a emergency traffic triangle, tow rope, jumper cables, mini first aid kit and more, you'll be all set. So the weekend as a whole is looking particularly cool for late April with maximum temperatures generally ranging between 8C and 12C and often unsettled with it, but let’s take a closer look at both days. In contrast a temporary ridge of high pressure building in to Scotland, Ireland and Northern England during the afternoon will lead to a reduction in the frequency of the showers and northern and western areas of the UK are likely to have a mainly dry and bright end to the day, but with cloud increasing from the north-west. The rain isn't expected to reach southern and south-eastern areas until well into the afternoon, so south-east England for example may well have a predominantly dry day after a distinctly chilly start. At the moment a general 10mm to 20mm is possible quite widely within the highlighted region, but up to 20mm to 30mm is possible.
Low pressure is forecast to move down into the UK during Friday and into Saturday bringing with it a markedly cooler, if not colder, North or North-westerly wind.
As a result some further patchy light rain or drizzle is possible across western hills and up-slopes, but generally the day is forecast to be dry with some bright spells, particularly for southern and eastern areas of England where it will feel mild. At the moment no extreme rainfall totals are anticipated, but parts of Southern Scotland and Northern England may experience 15mm to 25mm of rain over the course of Wednesday and into Thursday.
However, of significance will be the introduction of a cooler, if not colder, north or north-westerly wind which will also continue into the forth coming weekend.
Bright or sunny spells are expected across many areas of the UK, but again particularly so across England and Wales. It should be noted that many south-eastern areas of England are likely to remain mainly dry until very late in the day on Sunday by which any rain or showers will be light and patchy anyway. Sustained wind speeds of between 35mph and 45mph are distinctly likely, but the wind gusts may well exceed 60mph at times, especially across coasts and hills. As a result Friday and into the weekend for most of the UK will see a rapid improvement in conditions with bright or sunny spells across many areas and some pleasant spells of spring sunshine.
Before then however the end of the week ends on a rather showery note, with some April showers expected for many areas of England and Wales in particular. For those across southern and particularly south-east England though a real taste of spring is to be expected over the weekend. Some locally heavy rainfall is possible across parts of southern counties of England at times, but at the moment no problems are to be expected from heavy or disruptive rainfall. A rather cold air mass is forecast to persist here so some of the rain may turn to sleet and wet snow across the hills of Northern England during Thursday, but at the moment no significant or disruptive snowfall is to be expected. Some bright or sunny spells are expected by day, but with further frosts by night beneath any clear skies and some localised fog patches may also develop. Unfortunately temperatures don’t recovery immediately and as a result an unpleasant start to next week is expected given continued cold temperatures combining with the increasingly wet and windy conditions.
Many areas will continue to be dry throughout the rest of the week with some bright or sunny spells by day but with a continued risk of widespread frosts by night, with some further moderate or locally severe frosts possible across rural areas of Scotland and Northern England.
Precipitation is likely to be heaviest and most frequent across northern and western areas of the UK, whilst southern areas remain drier. Saturday night, especially for central and southern areas of the UK, will be a cold night with a widespread ground and air frost expected with temperatures locally down to -3C or -4C across rural areas of Wales, Midlands and Southern England which is quite low for the time of year.
Whilst locally over an inch of rainfall may be possible, no severe or widespread disruption is expected from heavy rain. As a result temperatures are forecast to drop quite rapidly during Friday and with maximum temperatures only ranging between 8C and 12C generally and with the risk of some wintry precipitation across Northern hills along with the risk of some overnight frosts as well to end the week.
As a result the end of the week will see a drop in temperatures to below average and feeling distinctly chilly for late April with perhaps the risk of some overnight frosts as well.
It should be noted that a rather chilly start to Saturday is expected with perhaps a patchy frost in places. But for many northern and western areas on Sunday a cool day is to be expected with some rain or showers at times.
Some travel disruption may take place and there may also be a risk of some slight structural damage in places. So whilst the short term may well be particularly inclement, towards the end of the week a marked improvement in the weather is to be expected.
Latest model data is showing the risk of some heavy and perhaps localised thundery showers during Friday afternoon across parts of central and southern areas of England. Many northern areas of the UK will remain somewhat drier and brighter but with a cold east or south-easterly wind developing. By Friday, at the moment, a rather cold and showery north or north-westerly wind is forecast across many areas of the UK.
Again, given lighter winds and some sunshine it should feel a little milder than of late, but still, temperatures remain at least 2C or 3C below average for the time of year at least. However, there are signs temperatures will begin to approach nearer average values the further we progress through next week.
Over the last few days the winds have generally been light, but unfortunately the easterly wind will become fresh or even locally strong to end the week across England and Wales. I have highlighted which areas are at greatest risk of thunder, in yellow on the following image. A particularly wet and windy spell of weather is expected for many northern and western areas of the UK over the weekend with some heavy rain and gales likely across Scotland and Ireland in particular. Some wintry precipitation does remain possible for Scotland and Northern England at times on Monday and into Tuesday but nothing significant or disruptive is expected.
A lower risk of some heavy rain and strong winds extends further east into Northern England and I have highlighted the areas at greatest risk of some heavy rain and strong or gale force winds in red.



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