What does the National Interagency Fire Center (the source of these statistics) have to say about them? Prior to 1983, sources of these figures are not known, or cannot be confirmed, and were not derived from the current situation reporting process. Once again, it looks like you guys seize on a random cherry-picked data artifact and then make attribution claims you can't actually justify. Of course you don't post any sources for your graphs which don't even cover the 21st century.
Even if there is no acceleration, that means we hit 2C over pre-industrial in about 70 years or so, and the malignant effects are being seen already. Deniers may well deny the dangers - but I think we are exceeding the temperature rate of change speed limit, and need to slow down.
If you still don't understand the issue you should really stop posting more nonsense and do something else. But I did trace the first one - it is a Canadian government chart, but if you look, it shows a clear increasing trend.
I also found a continuation up to the end of 2014, which shows an even clearer increasing trend. Politics.ie is one of Ireland's leading politics and current affairs discussion websites with more than 600,000 visitors a month. Cold Sun – Cold Earth: 2008 Now #3 Most Sunspotless Days in the Last 100 Years – Could We Reach #2?
As of December 7, we have had 245 spotless days in 2008, enough to put us 3rd place ahead of 1954 this past century. Case in point the Maunder Minimum during the little ice age, virtually spotless for decades in the 17th century. It was the rumour that the lake ice was finally solid from Toronto to Rochester that brought a huge crowd to Sunnyside Park on the afternoon of Feb.
The lake did freeze over by the end of the month, the only time in the past century that it has. Invariably, quiet cycles are longer cycles (more than 11 years) while very active cycles tend to be short (often 9 -10 years).


There is even more similarity to the late 1700s and early 1800s (cycles 2-4) with the behavior of the last several cycles (21-23).
Archibald has projected this for global temperatures should another Dalton Minimum take place. Note: Everyone acknowledges the ultra long term variances of the orbital parameters of the sun (precession (time sun is closest to earth - now January), obliquity (wobble on its axis of rotation) and eccentricity (how elliptical or circular the orbit)) and their effect on ice ages and interglacials (which repeat regularly every 100,000 years). Don’t let them tell you the sun is a constant and not a climate factor on the decadal to century scale. When the sun is more active all these factors act to produce warming and when quiet, cooling. An article I wrote earlier this week argued that the increase in natural disaster property losses in recent years can be explained by the world’s increasing wealth, not by climate change. The article generated a lot of comments and questions, and I thought it would be good to address some of them. Human-caused climate change is both real and important, so being careful about what claims science can support and which it can’t is imperative. Several readers wanted to know how the data looked restricted to only those disasters related to weather events.
The data, from an analysis of the Munich Re disaster data set by two scholars at the London School of Economics, shows the trend in weather-related disaster losses as a proportion of global GDP since 1980.
For the purpose of detecting a climate change signal, it makes no sense to include loss from all natural disasters since some disaster types will be practically unaffected by climate change. Still, looked at this way, as the analysis concludes, there isn’t evidence here to support claims that increasing disaster costs are driven by more frequent or intense weather events. Can you list the climate stations on which the above data is based on and when they started recording??.
Founded in 2003, Politics.ie has one of the most engaged, respected and influential politics and current affairs communities.
By early February, the near-shore lake ice was a metre thick, and you could skate from Toronto to Hamilton if you had the time.
The next two cycles form the minimum of the 213 and 106 year cycles, suggesting a similar Dalton like minimum. There is similarity to the late 1700s and early 1800s (cycles 2-4) with the behavior of the last several cycles (21-23).


The solar factors in climate include the measured changes in brightness or irradiance which produces more energy input into our atmosphere (small). Measured as a proportion of gross domestic product, these costs haven’t changed much over the past quarter-century. The study used two methods to adjust for global GDP, a simple approach like the one I presented in my article, and a far more sophisticated method which used much more localized and precise data on GDP. In [the figure], we therefore have taken out geophysical disasters (earthquakes, land slides, rock falls, subsidence, volcanic eruptions, and tsunamis) and only include the following disaster types: blizzards, hail storms, lightning, local windstorms, sandstorms, tropical cyclones, severe storms, tornados, winter storms, avalanches, flash floods, general floods, storm surges, cold and heat waves, droughts, winter damages, and wildfires.
It’s climate data, not catastrophe loss data, that can best suggest changes in extreme weather events. This subject is well addressed in the literature, and has been deemed important in damage trends with respect to Australian cyclone damage and U.S. If we match November’s 16 spotless days in December, we will move into second place ahead of 1912 (253 spotless days) behind just 1913 (311 days). About 50 kept going until the paper estimated they were three miles out and from shore looked like "so many flies on a gigantic plate." When they were mere specks, they turned around – not because the ice was thin, as they later told the reporter, but because they feared getting lost. Although Michigan, Huron and shallow Erie have frozen in many winters since, Superior and Ontario are so deep and wide it is rarely cold enough to do the trick.
Note the drop in temperatures during the quiet sun of the early 1910s followed by rapid warming into the 1930s as the solar activity returned with shorter and more intense solar cycles. The next two cycles form the minimum of the 213 and 106 year cycles, suggesting a similar Dalton like minimum in the early 1800s more than the early 1900s. Because this is small, it is assumed solar variability can’t cause climate changes short term.
Both methods lead to the same result as for all disasters: no significant trend over time according to conventional method, a marginally significant downward trend according to the alternative method.
Accompanying a more active sun is a much larger change in ultraviolet radiation which causes high atmospheric heating through ozone chemistry in low and middle latitudes, geomagnetic activity which causes ionization warming in higher latitudes and increased diffusion of galactic cosmic rays which act to enhance low clouds through ion mediated nucleation.



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Rubric: Canada Emergency Preparedness



Comments

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