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It is important to keep in mind that New York City has a very dynamic population, with several hundred thousand people coming and going each year. In the 2014-2015 period, Brooklyn experienced net outflows, a reversal of the pattern in prior years. Net domestic migration represents the net exchange between a county and other counties in the 50 states. 1While there is little doubt that New York City has experienced a substantial population increase post-2010, it is probably overstated.
Briefing Booklet (775 kb) – An illustrated guide to the projection methodology and to the major findings. Full Report (680 k) – A detailed analysis of the total population projected to 2030, as well as the projected school-age and elderly populations.
Briefing Booklet (720 k) – an illustrated guide to the projection methodology and to the major findings. Visit PLANYC 2030 - Learn about the challenges New York City will face over the next 25 years -- and how you can help solve them.
Meet usSeptember 21, 2016: Executive Director Peter Wagner will be speaking at Claremont McKenna College in California. EventsSeptember 21, 2016: Executive Director Peter Wagner will be speaking at Claremont McKenna College in California. Census Bureau has estimated New York City’s population at 8,550,405, as of July 2015. Census Bureau population estimates, New York City’s population increased from 8,175,1331 in April of 2010 to 8,550,405 in July of 2015. 2010-2014 The robust pace of growth in the post-2010 period has not been seen since the 1920s.


For example, the foreign-born population is aged forward to obtain the expected population in the year 2015. Brooklyn and Queens likely experienced an undercount in the 2010 Census, the result of misclassifying housing units as vacant. Bloomberg cited DCP's population projections in his December 12, 2006 address regarding planning for a sustainable future. One person one vote requires equal populations of people counted in their actual communities. The New York State Legislature in essence counts Hispanics as a race, because it's published data from the Census Bureau includes each Non-Hispanic racial group and then Hispanics each as separate categories.
This represented an increase of 375,300 residents (or 4.6 percent) over the April 2010 decennial census count of 8,175,133. This method assumes that post-census population change can be closely approximated with vital statistics data on births and deaths, along with other administrative and survey data that provide a picture of migration patterns. This dynamism is a testament to the City being a magnet for those seeking opportunities, then moving on, only to be replaced by the next set of individuals aspiring for a better life. However, the most recent 2014-2015 estimates point to a relatively lower growth rate as compared to 2010-2014. Indeed, the Bronx had the highest growth of any county in New York State, while Queens added the most people in numerical terms.
Census Bureau produces estimates of the population for states, counties, cities and other places, as well as for the nation as a whole. A conservative estimate is that this problem understated the population of the two boroughs by 65,000 persons.
This report adopts the procedures of the state legislature, although it uses the language in the Department of Correctional Services reports in referring to non-Hispanic Whites as Whites and non-Hispanic Blacks as Blacks.


They utilize data from a number of sources to estimate the change in the population for each year since the most recent decennial census.
Census Bureau uses data on filers and dependents from federal income tax returns supplied by the Internal Revenue Service (IRS). This means that the population of the city in 2010 was easily in excess of 8,240,000 – and not the 8,175,100 base from the 2010 enumeration that is used in the calculations of change.
Population growth has been fueled by the continued surplus of births over deaths, partly due to record high life expectancy coupled with a net influx of people into the City, a phenomenon not experienced for over a half-century.
In-migrants and out-migrants between counties as well as non-movers are identified by comparing the addresses of income tax filers from year-to-year to determine residence at two points in time. Census Bureau constructs population estimates for all counties in the United States by separately estimating the components of change. For example, to produce the July 1, 2015 estimates, the addresses of tax filers in 2013 and 2014 are compared. Net migration is calculated by estimating the rate of net migration for persons coming in from and leaving for other counties in the 50 states (net domestic migration) and the balance of people who immigrate from and emigrate to other nations and Puerto Rico (net international migration).
The net domestic migration rate is derived using income tax returns from the Internal Revenue Service and Medicare enrollment data from the Social Security Administration (see methods discussion below).
Census Bureau uses addresses from Medicare enrollment data in much the same way as they use IRS data to determine domestic migration for the population 65 years and over.



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