Le marche des "bots" commencent a se segmenter dans et au dela de l'industrie manufacturiere. C'est le seul moyen d’eviter, ou a tout le moins de minimiser, "la bassine numerique" qui se profile. Ainsi, au lieu de s’egosiller a faire fuir les investisseurs au travers de postures politiques tres "populistes", notre Ministre du "redressement productif" devrait faire en sorte que la France (deja tres en retard dans le domaine par rapport aux EU, au Japon et a l'Allemagne) se positionne en pointe dans ce domaine! It’s hard to believe you’d have an economy at all if you gave pink slips to more than half the labor force. It may be hard to believe, but before the end of this century, 70 percent of today’s occupations will likewise be replaced by automation. Baxter is an early example of a new class of industrial robots created to work alongside humans. We have preconceptions about how an intelligent robot should look and act, and these can blind us to what is already happening around us. First, it can look around and indicate where it is looking by shifting the cartoon eyes on its head. That may be true of making stuff, but a lot of jobs left in the world for humans are service jobs. The rows indicate whether robots will take over existing jobs or make new ones, and the columns indicate whether these jobs seem (at first) like jobs for humans or for machines. And yet for more complicated chores, we still tend to believe computers and robots can’t be trusted. While the displacement of formerly human jobs gets all the headlines, the greatest benefits bestowed by robots and automation come from their occupation of jobs we are unable to do.
Before we invented automobiles, air-conditioning, flatscreen video displays, and animated cartoons, no one living in ancient Rome wished they could watch cartoons while riding to Athens in climate-controlled comfort. To reiterate, the bulk of new tasks created by automation are tasks only other automation can handle. It is a safe bet that the highest-earning professions in the year 2050 will depend on automations and machines that have not been invented yet. That is, we can’t see these jobs from here, because we can’t yet see the machines and technologies that will make them possible. Finally, that leaves us with quadrant D, the jobs that only humans can do—at first. The one thing humans can do that robots can’t (at least for a long while) is to decide what it is that humans want to do. When robots and automation do our most basic work, making it relatively easy for us to be fed, clothed, and sheltered, then we are free to ask, “What are humans for?” Industrialization did more than just extend the average human lifespan. This postindustrial economy will keep expanding, even though most of the work is done by bots, because part of your task tomorrow will be to find, make, and complete new things to do, new things that will later become repetitive jobs for the robots.
The real revolution erupts when everyone has personal workbots, the descendants of Baxter, at their beck and call. Right now it seems unthinkable: We can’t imagine a bot that can assemble a stack of ingredients into a gift or manufacture spare parts for our lawn mower or fabricate materials for our new kitchen.
Kevin Kelly (kk.org) is senior maverick of Wired and the author, most recently, of What Technology Wants. Nous souhaitons construire des partenariats internationaux, innovants et durables autour du potentiel transformationnel des technologies. This blueprint isn’t the only mysterious bit of kaiju fear-mongering to hit the web today. If you wish to receive a notification each time a new post appears on High T3ch, feel free to subscribe.
DISCLAIMER: All wallpapers and backgrounds found here are believed to be in the "public domain". Use duct tape to attach the rubber bands, poking out of the body to the arms and leg pieces. Decorate the face and the body of the robot with buttons and screens using craft paper and glue. I am a mother of two and a type of person who you would call “Jack of all trades, master of none”. If you’d like to download these instructions, click the image below then right click to save. About The AuthorRob I'm a father of three awesome kids and love sharing the fun art projects we do together as a family. But as manufacturing costs sink because of robots, the costs of transportation become a far greater factor than the cost of production. We can’t imagine our nephews and nieces running a dozen workbots in their garage, churning out inverters for their friend’s electric-vehicle startup. Pour cela, son Ministere et celui de Fleure Pellerin devraient fusionner  ou du moins mettre au point une feuille de route de cooperation cadre ambitieuse.
But that—in slow motion—is what the industrial revolution did to the workforce of the early 19th century.
After robots finish replacing assembly line workers, they will replace the workers in warehouses.
We already have artificial intelligence in many of our machines; we just don’t call it that. To demand that artificial intelligence be humanlike is the same flawed logic as demanding that artificial flying be birdlike, with flapping wings. Designed by Rodney Brooks, the former MIT professor who invented the best-selling Roomba vacuum cleaner and its descendants, Baxter is an early example of a new class of industrial robots created to work alongside humans. Priced at $22,000, it’s in a different league compared with the $500,000 total bill of its predecessors. In 1895 the building was a manufacturing marvel in the very center of the new manufacturing world. I ask Brooks to walk with me through a local McDonald’s and point out the jobs that his kind of robots can replace.
Humans can weave cotton cloth with great effort, but automated looms make perfect cloth, by the mile, for a few cents. That’s why we’ve been slow to acknowledge how they’ve mastered some conceptual routines, in some cases even surpassing their mastery of physical routines. A trivial example: Humans have trouble making a single brass screw unassisted, but automation can produce a thousand exact ones per hour.


We don’t have the attention span to inspect every square millimeter of every CAT scan looking for cancer cells. We can remove a tumor in our gut through our navel, make a talking-picture video of our wedding, drive a cart on Mars, print a pattern on fabric that a friend mailed to us through the air.
Two hundred years ago not a single citizen of Shanghai would have told you that they would buy a tiny slab that allowed them to talk to faraway friends before they would buy indoor plumbing. Now that we have search engines like Google, we set the servant upon a thousand new errands.
This is not a trivial trick; our desires are inspired by our previous inventions, making this a circular question. It led a greater percentage of the population to decide that humans were meant to be ballerinas, full-time musicians, mathematicians, athletes, fashion designers, yoga masters, fan-fiction authors, and folks with one-of-a kind titles on their business cards. In the coming years robot-driven cars and trucks will become ubiquitous; this automation will spawn the new human occupation of trip optimizer, a person who tweaks the traffic system for optimal energy and time usage.
OK, it can have my old boring job, because it’s obvious that was not a job that humans were meant to do. Tell us what you think of the Jaeger blueprint, and the interesting details in its text, in the comments below. You can make Cute White Robot Wallpaper HD For your Desktop Background, Tablet, and Smartphone device for free. As you might guess from categories, I love my children, reading, sewing, gardening, traveling and cooking. All our art friends are more than welcome to post photos of their art on our Facebook page.
We can’t imagine our children becoming appliance designers, making custom batches of liquid-nitrogen dessert machines to sell to the millionaires in China.
La France est pleine d'atouts ; notre concept de "poles de competitivite" semble a priori adapte a la trajectoire d'innovation de l'economie post-industrielle qu'annonce les experts et futurologues. In other words, robot replacement is just a matter of time. This upheaval is being led by a second wave of automation, one that is centered on artificial cognition, cheap sensors, machine learning, and distributed smarts. Speedy bots able to lift 150 pounds all day long will retrieve boxes, sort them, and load them onto trucks.
Witness one piece of software by Narrative Science (profiled in issue 20.05) that can write newspaper stories about sports games directly from the games’ stats or generate a synopsis of a company’s stock performance each day from bits of text around the web. To train the bot you simply grab its arms and guide them in the correct motions and sequence. It is as if those established robots, with their batch-mode programming, are the mainframe computers of the robot world, and Baxter is the first PC robot.
The only reason to buy handmade cloth today is because you want the imperfections humans introduce.
A computerized brain known as the autopilot can fly a 787 jet unaided, but irrationally we place human pilots in the cockpit to babysit the autopilot “just in case.” In the 1990s, computerized mortgage appraisals replaced human appraisers wholesale. Without automation, we could not make a single computer chip—a job that requires degrees of precision, control, and unwavering attention that our animal bodies don’t possess. We don’t have the millisecond reflexes needed to inflate molten glass into the shape of a bottle.
We are doing, and are sometimes paid for doing, a million new activities that would have dazzled and shocked the farmers of 1850.
Crafty AIs embedded in first-person-shooter games have given millions of teenage boys the urge, the need, to become professional game designers—a dream that no boy in Victorian times ever had. With the help of our machines, we could take up these roles; but of course, over time, the machines will do these as well. Your fleet of worker bots do all the weeding, pest control, and harvesting of produce, as directed by an overseer bot, embodied by a mesh of probes in the soil. Our human assignment will be to keep making jobs for robots—and that is a task that will never be finished. So, add us to your ad blocker’s whitelist or pay $1 per week for an ad-free version of WIRED.
This wallpaper background has 696 Kb filesize and archived in 3D Wallpaper, Cute Wallpaper category. We do not intend to infringe any legitimate intellectual right, artistic rights or copyright. I also work full time so I have to be practical to do all the things I want to do in a 24-hr-day. Kelly l'utilise et le met en perspective pour decrire les ressorts de la revolution dans la laquelle nous sommes embarques.
C'est la question du tempo qui tranchera, car l'etalon de la capacite d'adaptation de l'espece humaine demeure de mon point de vue la "sequence generationnelle", meme si cette derniere a tendance elle aussi a se segmenter. Kelly repond bien a cette question pour les elites mais assez mal pour le milieu et le bas de la pyramide ; ne pas y repondre equivaut a accepter l’avenement d'un nouvel age des inegalites insupportable a mes yeux. So we’ll get this network of locally franchised factories, where most things will be made within 5 miles of where they are needed.”).
Today automation has eliminated all but 1 percent of their jobs, replacing them (and their work animals) with machines. Fruit and vegetable picking will continue to be robotized until no humans pick outside of specialty farms.
Any job dealing with reams of paperwork will be taken over by bots, including much of medicine. To see how far artificial intelligence has penetrated our lives, we need to shed the idea that they will be humanlike. Previous industrial robots couldn’t do this, which means that working robots have to be physically segregated from humans. It is likely to be dismissed as a hobbyist toy, missing key features like sub-millimeter precision, and not serious enough.
We no longer value irregularities while traveling 70 miles per hour, though—so the fewer humans who touch our car as it is being made, the better.
Much tax preparation has gone to computers, as well as routine x-ray analysis and pretrial evidence-gathering—all once done by highly paid smart people.


Likewise no human, indeed no group of humans, no matter their education, can quickly search through all the web pages in the world to uncover the one page revealing the price of eggs in Katmandu yesterday.
We don’t have an infallible memory to keep track of every pitch in Major League Baseball and calculate the probability of the next pitch in real time. These new accomplishments are not merely chores that were difficult before. Rather they are dreams that are created chiefly by the capabilities of the machines that can do them.
We’ll then be empowered to dream up yet more answers to the question “What should we do?” It will be many generations before a robot can answer that. When automatic self-tracking of all your activities becomes the normal thing to do, a new breed of professional analysts will arise to help you make sense of the data. One day your task might be to research which variety of heirloom tomato to plant; the next day it might be to update your custom labels. The material on this site may not be reproduced, distributed, transmitted, cached or otherwise used, except with the prior written permission of Conde Nast. You can look for other high definition hd wallpapers desktop background by clicking a category archive in the sidebar, or search with the search form above. To set Cute White Robot Wallpaper HD as wallpaper background on your desktop, click on the 'Download' button. If your child is younger, spend a little extra time explaining the difference between a square and rectangle.
La question du sens est a mon sens une des questions clefs qu'il faut absolument resoudre pour refonder un modele de societe capable de faire du sens a l'heure de la Singularite technologique globale.
Pharmacies will feature a single pill-dispensing robot in the back while the pharmacists focus on patient consulting. Even those areas of medicine not defined by paperwork, such as surgery, are becoming increasingly robotic. The typical factory robot is imprisoned within a chain-link fence or caged in a glass case.
But as with the PC, and unlike the mainframe, the user can interact with it directly, immediately, without waiting for experts to mediate—and use it for nonserious, even frivolous things. Now the capabilities of Baxter and the approaching cascade of superior robot workers spur Brooks to speculate on how these robots will shift manufacturing in a disruption greater than the last revolution. We’ve accepted utter reliability in robot manufacturing; soon we’ll accept it in robotic intelligence and service.
Every time you click on the search button you are employing a robot to do something we as a species are unable to do alone.
Each successful bit of automation generates new occupations—occupations we would not have fantasized about without the prompting of the automation. And of course we will need a whole army of robot nannies, dedicated to keeping your personal bots up and running. Associee a la montee du materialisme et de l'individualisme, cette dialectique philosophique, qui n'est pas nouvelle, est destinee a s'imposer au premier plan. Next, the more dexterous chores of cleaning in offices and schools will be taken over by late-night robots, starting with easy-to-do floors and windows and eventually getting to toilets. It’s cheap enough that small-time manufacturers can afford one to package up their wares or custom paint their product or run their 3-D printing machine.
Looking out his office window at the former industrial neighborhood, he says, “Right now we think of manufacturing as happening in China. Technology is indiscriminate this way, piling up possibilities and options for both humans and machines. Those who once farmed were now manning the legions of factories that churned out farm equipment, cars, and other industrial products.
The highway legs of long-haul trucking routes will be driven by robots embedded in truck cabs.
It doesn’t matter if you are a doctor, lawyer, architect, reporter, or even programmer: The robot takeover will be epic. This isolation prevents such robots from working in a small shop, where isolation is not practical.
Previous workbots required highly educated engineers and crack programmers to write thousands of lines of code (and then debug them) in order to instruct the robot in the simplest change of task.
We are building a general-purpose machine that other workers can set up themselves and work alongside.” And once we can cowork with robots right next to us, it’s inevitable that our tasks will bleed together, and soon our old work will become theirs—and our new work will become something we can hardly imagine.
La remontee en fleche du sentiment religieux et des spiritualites (plus adaptees au progres technologique exponentiel car moins rigides) en est le symbole. Since then, wave upon wave of new occupations have arrived—appliance repairman, offset printer, food chemist, photographer, web designer—each building on previous automation. Optimally, workers should be able to get materials to and from the robot or to tweak its controls by hand throughout the workday; isolation makes that difficult. You might no longer think of it as a job, at least at first, because anything that seems like drudgery will be done by robots.
Il me semble inevitable que la laicite soit appelee elle aussi a etre renovee dans la facon dont elle articule "politique", "philosophie" et "spiritualite". Today, the vast majority of us are doing jobs that no farmer from the 1800s could have imagined.
Turns out the real cost of the typical industrial robot is not its hardware but its operation.
Using force-feedback technology to feel if it is colliding with a person or another bot, it is courteous. Industrial robots cost $100,000-plus to purchase but can require four times that amount over a lifespan to program, train, and maintain. The costs pile up until the average lifetime bill for an industrial robot is half a million dollars or more.




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