I fully expect the British Prime Minister, David Cameron, will be more than modicum concerned about public opinion as the full toll of damage to property, businesses, farmland and the loss of life in Cumbria of the December 2015 floods becomes clear.
The flood defences that were improved in Cumbria after the rainstorm disaster of 2009 were in some cases completely ineffective against the 2015 deluge.
The anti-science wing of the Conservative Party were quick to construct a campaign against the Environment Agency in the South West of England in early 2014 – distracting people from asking the climate change question. Will the Prime Minister admit to the nation that climate change is potentially a factor in this 2015 waterborne disaster ?
Can future climate-altered floods be escaped – or are the people of Britain to remain defenceless ?
The British Prime Minister David Cameron has recently made his case for an air campaign in Syria, and it is to this that I turn.
To understand this, you would need to understand the appeal that Islamic State philosophy has to a small group of deluded, desperate, brainwashed activists. David Cameron writes, “Today one of the greatest threats we face to our security is the threat from ISIL. This is beginning to sound like the propaganda that was once designed to oppose the man who is still the official leader in Syria, Bashar al-Assad. If Assad is not good enough for Syrian leadership, and the anti-Assad forces are not good enough for Syrian leadership, and Islamic State is not good enough for playing any part in Syrian governance, then what is David Cameron really arguing for ?
It would be very costly, not only economically, but also in terms of Britain’s reputation abroad.
A common factor with Iraq and Libya is that energy production, storage, transmission, distribution and supply has obviously been affected by the warfare and uprisings in Syria – and it seems that Islamic State have been selling Syrian oil to finance their resistance to all the other militaries in the region.
An American-led occupation of Syria would obviously assist in stabilising the energy sector, and ensuring safe passage for gas and oil, for example in pipelines and power grids.
Whilst some claim there is a starkly obvious conflict of interest for Rudd to take part in the decision-making process, the Department of Energy and Climate Change (DECC) could have denied it, but have instead confirmed that the potential reversal of a 2013 decision will be made, not by Rudd, but by Lord Bourne. New gas storage in the United Kingdom is a crucial piece of the energy infrastructure provision, as recognised by successive governments.
So I was in a meeting on a dateless date, at an organisation with a nameless name, with some other unidentifiable people in the room with me. I want to believe that even though I am occasionally paid to communicate a story (but most often not), that my narrative, and importantly my agenda, is my own. So, there I was in this meeting, and the people in the room were discussing an event that is likely to take place.
So, somebody else in the meeting, who shall remain faceless and nameless, poured very cold water on this idea.
So how about we cast it like this : your energy is going to get much more expensive if the UK abandons the European community of nations. The facts are available to those who search : British production of oil and gas from the North Sea is declining at something like 6% a year. Full membership of the European Union is the logical option for the United Kingdom, no matter how many tired dead donkey corpses the rabid tabloid media keep digging up to appall us all.
On climate change, the United Kingdom has secured the Climate Change Act, legislation with broad-based support across all political parties. Action is almost guaranteed if the concern is the result of a specific outrage, committed by a specific person or group, and has a specific solution. I took public transport today in London and I was doused in outrage pouring from advertisements asking for charitable giving to prevent the inhuman practice of Female Genital Mutilation (FGM). This is a problem which cannot be fixed by expressing normal murmurs of concern, building a wave of concern that climbs a ladder of concern, or making monthly token charitable payments.
The only time that ocean acidification should appear in a media piece is to report that the problem has been presented to the architects of increased ocean carbon dioxide, and answers have been requested. I am tired of reading about climate change, global warming, freshwater stress and ocean acidification in the news.
The non-governmental organisations – the charities, aid and development agencies and the like, do not know how to deal with climate change. What's the thinking behind his quirky ways and what can you learn from the Bezos approach to business that might change how things are done at your own company? RecentlyA on his blogA current Microsoft employee and former private equity fund partner Tren Griffin suggested you go straight to the source, helpfully combing through Bezos' public utterances for valuable nuggets of wisdom. OK, it's not only Bezos who says innovation can be lonely, but he certainly exemplifies the principle.
Do you spend your days dreaming of a time a flood of money will scour away your business's problems? Many companies make choices based on the seniority or charisma of those arguing the various points of view.
It appears that the high water mark at some places in Cumbria was higher in the 2015 floods than ever recorded previously, but that cannot be used as David Cameron’s get-out-of-jail-free clause. But this time, I think people might be persuaded that they need to consider climate change as being a factor.
My conclusion from a British perspective was that the United Kingdom should be very cautious in widening its military engagement in the region to include a proposed bombing campaign against Syria. We need a comprehensive response which seeks to deal with the threat that ISIL poses to us directly, not just through the measures we are taking at home, but by dealing with ISIL on the ground in the territory that it controls. It could spark further hatred of the United Kingdom, and could lead to further acts of terror and sabotage in Europe. But Europe’s desire for Natural Gas from non-Russian sources should not be any kind of reason for the UK to bomb and occupy Syria. Developments have been ongoing, such as the opening of the Holford facility at Byley in Cheshire. What Amber needs is a proper energy policy, based on focused support for low carbon technologies, such as wind power, solar power and Renewable Gas to back up renewable electricity when the sun is not shining and wind is not blowing. I do not want to precipitate a revolution, or dehydrate the horses before leading them to the river bank.
It appears from some analysis that the next British Government could well be another Coalition Government, with the Conservative Party having only a shaving of a majority for rule. The United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland is just a bunch of mediocre-sized islands off the coast of the European continent.
Our Parliament has agreed that we need to work on climate change, social justice and economic stability. Why, the North Sea, as everybody knows, is draining dry, and we can only build certain levels of relationship with countries outside the European Union, such as Russia.
Plus, your lights could genuinely go out, unless you, the people, either as taxpayers or billpayers, fork out for new energy investments that the energy companies haven’t made for 20 years.
The UK became a net energy importer between 2004 and 2006 (depending on how you define it). But, because I am not a spin meister, or spin meistress, or a campaigner, I’m not going to be crafting fine messages to share with my networks on this particular subject. Sooner or later, we also need to consider joining the Euro currency, and I predict we will, but I’m not your convincer on that argument, either.
The UK shares the concerns of other European countries about the potential risks and impacts from climate change in our geographical region.
The model of political campaigning that has been established over the last century is failing us.
As I read these appeals, I felt two overwhelming sensations – one of intense anger that children are being permanently injured because of insane and unjustifiable, hateful beliefs about female sexuality.
Trying to assert that somebody needs to pay for pollution won’t prevent pollution occurring.


It seems there is nothing I can do that I have not already done that can provide a solution to these problems.
That’s kind of like asking people to be nice to puppies, and about as realistic call for change as wanting the Moon to be actually made of cheese.
They cannot simply utilise their tools of guilt to prise coins from peoples’ clenched hands and put the money towards something helpful. The way that Make Poverty History worked was a bunch of parliamentary people, and government people, sat down together and worked out how to get shows of public support for the government’s calls to the G8. Various parts of government, who have actually understood the science, and the economics, can see how it is in the best interests of the United Kingdom, and the European Union, of which we are a closely-connected part, to adopt strong carbon control policies. A truly independent strongly critical movement centred around the Campaign against Climate Change organised a demonstration of protest every year in London, leading people either from or to the American Embassy, as the USA was the most recalcitrant on taking action to control greenhouse gas emissions.
He is not about to run his company based on a ratio much beloved by someone outside the company, such as a Wall Street analyst," Griffin elaborates. Measurements from previous floods are used to calculate the likelihood of water levels breaching a particular height within a number of years – for example, a 1-in-20 year flood, or a 1-in-200 year flood. They have barely had time to re-establish their homes and lives before Christmas has been cancelled again for another year. Increasing violence in the region will harm energy transport projects and damage existing infrastructure. For example, in the first paragraph, the Prime Minister writes, “Whether or not to use military force is one of the most significant decisions that any government takes. But if you want to understand how provocation of Islamic State by aerial bombardment could precipitate violent responses on the streets of Europe, all you need to do is look at the evidence from Paris and Brussels coming in the last few weeks. The longer ISIL is allowed to grow in Syria, the greater the threat it will pose”, but the question is, a threat to whom and what ? By inflicting brutal attacks against his own people, Assad has in fact acted as one of ISIL’s greatest recruiting sergeants. It means working through these talks to secure a transition to an inclusive Government in Syria that responds to the needs of all the Syrian people and with which the international community could co-operate fully to help restore peace and stability to the whole country. It’s worked so well in Iraq, of course (not), that it deserves to be replicated (not). Besides new gas storage, there are anticipated improvements for interconnectors with mainland Europe. I shall not be defined by storytelling, I shall not be paid for spreading information – for if I were to be telling money-backed tales, I may end up peddling lies. You shouldn’t read anything and be swayed or directed, except by the force of reason based on evidence. In the meeting I attended, the hosts of the meeting were consulting for ways to highlight the Europe Question, and to give it a pro-Union light. Something like 80% of UK trade is with European countries, because Europe is our gateway to the rest of the global market, and you always do the most trade with your neighbours. If the UK left the EU, the EU would be competitors with the UK for Russian Natural Gas, for example.
In the past, if there was a problem, a small group of people could create a fuss about it, march some placards to somewhere relevant, write some letters, talk to some dignitaries, chain themselves to some railings, occupy a lobby, get some press, and after some years, maybe, get something done.
In this age of social media, the campaign metaphor has been replaced by a ladder of concern. And a second feeling of dragging despair that giving a small donation every month to this organisation would have very little impact on abusive culture, which leads to many forms of violation, not just the unimaginably painful and destructive incision and even resection of a child’s clitoris and the sewing together of her labia, leading to permanent nerve damage, lasting wounds, loss of sexual function, complications from incontinence, ruined relationships, injuries from sexual intercourse, and serious medical risks during childbirth, and possibly the need for reconstructive surgery. And not just by middle class philanthropists who work for non-governmental organisations and charities.
Those companies like BP and Shell, ExxonMobil, and all the coal extraction companies should act. As if focusing all our efforts and energy on repairing an already-breaking machine of trade with its destructive exploitation of resources and labour is going to stop climate change.
The appeal to the masses was principally divided into two kinds – messages calling for people to support the government, and messages calling for people to urge, shout, rail, demonstrate to the government that they wanted these things. This was an effective display of public feeling, as it irritated and scratched and annoyed. The man who dared to buildA the everything storeA has a famously idiosyncratic approach to business.
Are you looking focused on the right numbers for your business or are you more worried about hitting metrics that someone else told you matter?
Avoid failure to spare your ego and you cut down on the number of experiments, and it's often a bigger problem to fail to experiment than it is to experiment and fail.
Similarly, you must adopt a non-consensus view and be right about that view to beat competitors," Griffin says.
The reinforced flood defences in Cumbria were designed to hold back what was calculated to be something like a 1-in-100 year flood. When all the talk was about young people being seduced by the insane rhetoric of Islamic State and running away to fight in Syria, it all seemed harmless enough – although tragic and bewildering for their families.
It’s a short step from hating Britain to sympathising with a rhetoric of anti-British violence, so it could be relatively rationally explained that British air campaigns of the last few decades have weakened our defences. It means continuing to support the moderate opposition in Syria, so that there is a credible alternative to ISIL and Assad. I want to scribe the way I see things, I do not do it in order to create waves or push buttons or light beacons. I said I thought that energy security was a good thing to explain to people and a good reason to raise support for UK’s continued participation in Europe. Within the European Community, the UK has worked to secure region-wide legislation on renewable energy, energy efficiency, waste control and air quality. And surely some things don’t need campaigns, because the governments already know enough about problems such as people trafficking, slavery, animal welfare, crime and torture ? This concern shouldn’t have to compete with all the other concerns out there, like distressed retired donkeys, threatened butterflies, meltdown polar bears, de-forested orangutans and by-catch dolphins.
The overwhelmingly major causes of this problem are irrefutably and definitely fossil fuel combustion, and its seriousness is hard to deny, even though Roger Harrabin attempts to make light of it by devoting column inches to a laboratory crab who isn’t getting with the programme. And yet, cursory analysis of the segmentation of the population who treat BBC News as a main and trusted information source may suggest that the only readers who would act on this piece are exactly these middle class charity staff, or at a push, retired middle class charity staff. I want to read about engineering and energy companies who have switched business models to producing Zero Carbon energy.
Well, some can, such as the project for smokeless, efficient ovens, but that’s not the point here. So, if you were in the first group you were showing support for what you thought was a good thing, and if you were in the second group, you were using all your righteous anger to force the government to take up the cause of the poor.
According to Griffin,"a€?Warren Buffett puts it this way: 'Typically, our most egregious mistakes fall in the omission, rather than the commission, category.
It could be expected that if within that 100 years, other serious but not overwhelming flooding took place, there would be time for adaptation and restructuring of the defences. Will the BBC still be mollifying its viewers, lulling them back into a false sense of security about the risks of severe climate change ? There is a significant level of evidence to reasonably argue that attacking Islamic State with an air campaign will lead to reprisal attacks in the UK from Islamic State sympathisers, so air strikes against Syria might damage national security in Britain.
But now European nationals have returned home as secret trained suicide bombers, and recruited their peers and sometimes siblings and other relatives to the Islamic State cause, it’s no longer a sad tale of teenage and twenty-something obsession. And although Islamic State claimed responsibility for the attacks, it is unclear how Syrian and Iraqi leaders in Islamic State could have orchestrated them. David Cameron should not include the removal of Assad from leadership in his appeal to bomb Islamic State in Syria.


I am, allegedly, somebody who buys into the notion that communications should serve the purpose of directing public attention and support towards a particular outcome, decided in advance by a political elite.
The facts should speak for themselves, and if anybody consumes my communication, they should be free to act as they feel fit, or suits. Can anybody seriously suggest we ditch the Common Market – the agreements that European countries have come to to ensure common standards of goods and services, common terms and conditions of trade and common legal processes regulating trade ?
If European companies were required to sell energy assets back to the UK, because the UK pulled out of Europe, we would be in a very fine mess indeed. The trouble is, I know that the people who are vehemently against the European endeavour have so many trigger arguments tested and ready to deploy, such as : immigration, regulations, budgetary demands.
I couldn’t have any influence, as one lone voice, against the Daily Mails, Daily Expresses and Daily Telegraphs of this world.
All of these contribute to the response to climate change, and have developed action on climate change into a common cause.
Hopefully others will find that they too are sufficiently concerned, and reflect that concern through some medium. After all, things such as prostitution and illegal drug trade are included in national economic statistics. Unless this article, and the thousands like it, lead to the Government demanding answers on Energy Change from the fossil fuel companies, there is no point in reporting it, or in this case, disparaging it with faint humour. And the news should be about how these companies are taking action to offer us Renewable Hydrogen, Renewable Methane, solar power, wind power and Zero Carbon transport fuels.
Carbon mining quotas won’t work, since the forces for increasing mining quotas are strong. I want to hear how energy security concern is taking oil, gas and coal companies towards Renewable Everything.
It can, of course, be hard to learn to love your constraints, but this quote suggests there are benefits to be found in doing so. However, it has taken less than 10 years for a 1-in-100 year event to recur, and so no adaptation has been possible. To extend the British air campaign into Syria won’t fix this problem, neither will closing borders.
The parties in the Syrian civil war need to come to a negotiated settlement, but this is a separate issue to the question of the UK fighting the influence of Islamic State by bombing in Syria. It means insisting, with other countries, on the preparation of a proper stabilisation and reconstruction effort in Syria once the conflict has been brought to an end. And it seems, if I believe something is right, and that a message needs communicating, I will take action, but never invoice, because I am a believer. I paint the future using my own perspective, my own understanding, my own research, my own best judgement, but I am not telling people what to think. Within the European project for energy market harmonisation is the work on standards to achieve gas and electricity grid harmonisation. Appealing to some non-existent pride in the UK’s continued role as stakeholder in the European project is going to go down like a lead balloon. Within 10 to 15 years, I think that the UK will face significant competition for Natural Gas supplies with other European countries. Unlike new nuclear power, which could be decades in construction, offshore and onshore wind in Europe can be quick-build. None of these stand up to scutiny, but they are very easy props on which to deploy Corpse Factory scares and scandals, up there with the War on Terror. In addition to regulatory change, the European Community is seeking to develop trading mechanisms to enable carbon dioxide emissions control, and it working to develop a common market in carbon. And slowly, it is hoped, this concern climbs the ladder of attention, until it is visible, audible. If we cannot measure a reduction in carbon dioxide emissions, or count new trees, we are getting nowhere, fast.
People spent a lot of time and energy on taking these messages out to various communities, who then spent a lot of time and energy on public meetings, letter writing, postcard signing, rallying, marching, talking to their democratic representatives. Apparently open consultative meetings are convened, but the agenda is already decided, and the messaging already written for you. They organised events sometimes on the very same day as the Campaign against Climate Change, and their inclusive hippy message was all lovehearts and flowers and we wouldn’t hurt a fly type calls for change. By contrast, companies which must sell their wares with huge advertising budgets are losing their edge in the Internet era," comments Griffin. Although I go slightly beyond merely noting and analysing what is happening, to articulate possible futures, I am not a persuader.
The improvement and augmenting of interconnections between countries, and the provision of wider energy storage, will enable the balanced use of renewable energy. Better to be in the debating chamber, surely, rather than scratching at the wind-and-rain-splattered window from outside ? The Holy Economy can go hang if we don’t address Climate Change, and it will, because Climate Change is already sucking the lifeblood out of production and trade.
I may have that reputation, but really, I despise propaganda : the deliberate formation of a murmur of Tweet starlings, or the collective wall-to-wall newspaper coverage of the same story, the scandal story hauled out to scare the horses and herd them to the salt water shore, the faux narrative of collective political or social will for change. So can the UK forge a gas alliance with countries outside the European Union, and apart from Norway ?
If there were to be a Referendum on Europe today, I can pretty much guarantee a kneejerk exit. This problem is so serious that it should be an automatic priority for all the authorities, co-ordinating to detect and prevent it. The relationships that counted were the relationships between the governments, not between the governments and their NGOs. Governments need to create mechanisms to leverage and facilitate renewable energy deployment. Actually, in the end, who really cares about subsidies for renewable energy, when the most capital-heavy organisations in the world start backing renewable power ? And that isn’t demolished by competition from the rest of the European Union for gas supplies that come through pipes sitting in European Union territory ?
OK, the UK might want to leave full European Union membership, and join Norway in the European Economic Area, but will this guarantee beneficial import status for Natural Gas from countries that supply the full members of the European Community ? OK, offshore wind power is for the big boys, and you’re never going to get a diversity of suppliers with this project, and the dreams of decentralised energy are vapours, whisked away by giant engineering firms, but at least renewable energy is going to happen.
And even if things don’t go perfectly our way, will the negotiated compromises be so bad ? One day people will realise that for the newspapers to rehearse the arguments of High Net Worth Individuals, and for sheep-like energy ministers to complain about onshore wind power and solar farms, is just a way to keep small electricity generators out of the energy markets, and allow the incumbent energy players to keep making profits.
And then, hopefully, this concern hits the people who have some kind of leverage over the problem, and they act. But when the need for a multiplicity of small energy installations becomes critical, I think this tune will change. Surely the UK suffers a greater risk of interference from any pan-Atlantic trade deal that it does from Europe ?
The only people going to listen to this are those who already know about the problem but are still as powerless to act as they were yesterday.



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