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The price of bitcoin increased yesterday following the news that PayPal would integrate the digital currency into its services for merchants. Everyone in the bitcoin space is now looking for answers as to why the price has dropped so much from its $1,100 peak in December 2013. Simply put, there have been better places to invest since the price started dipping from a relative high in June and July. In other words, money flows to where it can increase, and selling begets more selling in what forms a classic negative feedback loop. The prevailing attitude is 'why should I hold it today if it will be worth less tomorrow?'. The end of QE (quantitative easing) by the Federal Reserve in October and the perception of rising interest rates in the US. Money inflows from European countries as their economies have once more started showing signs of contracting.
If a stock market correction happens, money outflowing from equities will look for other asset classes to allocate to.


Some in the bitcoin community have speculated that the Alibaba IPO has been one of the reasons for the price decline. There is an old rule on Wall Street, as is highlighted in Joe Granville’s book New Strategy of Daily Stock Market Timing for Maximum Profit: “Stocks do not rise in price unless demand exceeds supply. To end on a timely note, if we look at bitcoin seasonality, the period beginning in October has seen the price rise in previous years.
Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of, and should not be attributed to, CoinDesk. While bitcoin has long dominated the digital currency space, ether has been grabbing headlines - and trading volume - this week.
The price of bitcoin tested resistance at $460 over the weekend ending 15th May, but failed to break through what could prove to be a key level. Ether prices experienced only modest movements on 9th May despite its listing on a major US exchange. In the absence of any new specific information, the simplest answer is the best, and can be summed up in two words: asset allocation. As bitcoin keeps going lower, more selling will occur, especially among retailers and miners.


This will continue to be the attitude until proper hedging occurs using various derivative products or the price of bitcoin goes into a sustained uptrend. In fact, the US dollar and bitcoin should be negatively correlated as they are competing assets and 'alternative' forms of currency. This could have been related to worries over Scottish secession from the UK, which did not in the end go ahead. Hence, money could flow towards under-performing assets, such as bitcoin, emerging markets and hard and soft commodities. This could be seen as a positive, though, as all those who were allocated shares at $68 will probably be selling their shares after making a 32% profit very quickly and put that money to use elsewhere.



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